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ChiTownSnow

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Everything posted by ChiTownSnow

  1. Hopefully GFS follows suit AND the NAM didn't over correct itself
  2. Weaker 991 in c Illinois changes the trajectory of the snow band... Doesn't wrap up until it's east of here.
  3. A county shift is all you/I need really.. To get decent snow Dry slot is nasty tho
  4. NAM 18z has a better look to it. Tad south this far
  5. I love how your sneaky CV clippers are casual 6 to 12 inches..
  6. NAM 3k It's about the best case scenario for NE Illinois/Chicago . Albeit not likely to happen.
  7. Wait...What happened to only interested in big dogs?....Hmmm?
  8. Gfs had it move due north for 3 hours.. That seems hard to imagine..no?
  9. A slightly faster and weaker/flatter solution would tend to shift it back SE. But it would be a weaker system
  10. Interesting run on 00Z. Looked like it wanted to come back south at the beginning, but then ended up around same spot.
  11. Every year, we got 1 storm modeled that we all try to compare to 79 or 67
  12. Cook county (city) looking like they may have the dreaded front end miss south and deform miss north.. eeek These wave 1 and wave 2 are tricky as if both under/over perform you bust
  13. Better.. But still needs to slow down or energy will transfer to the coast
  14. Starting to show that brutal cutoff in NE IL
  15. Keep n mind that's 10-1. Will be closer to 7:1 and in a tough environment
  16. I don't buy 4-8 yet. Areas that get initial front end will either melt or miss the deform. Areas that get just deform will still struggle to accumulate due to daytime temps On paper and in models 4-8 looks reasonable but in reality I don't think it will be. If it does shift slightly northwest then areas like Rockford have the best shot at anything over. 5.
  17. Which is why the smart, no fun mets wait till now
  18. Current LOT write up seems to suggest a very localized (narrow) 3-6 type of event with less south of 55 corridor
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