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ChiTownSnow

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Everything posted by ChiTownSnow

  1. Pretty good difference in temps. Temps colder with this run
  2. https://www.spc.noaa.gov/exper/sref/srefplumes/ A little early for this I guess.. but Arp-1 please
  3. Idk.. That lake is mighty warm. Not sure how much that might impact it
  4. Seems to have a hard time ejecting out into the plains
  5. Hi res and short range guidance has increased a bit for tonight around N Illinois. Maybe squeeze out an inch or so somewhere
  6. Just eyeballing a roughly 18 hour snow event for Chicago on that run?
  7. Nah..you're just lucky you're good at what you do. Otherwise yes that'd be true.
  8. You don't consider the NAM in short range out west?
  9. Short range NAM vs Long Range was more my point
  10. Getting into NAM range out west. With so many moving parts out west the NAM may be useful
  11. I'll take it verbatim, then last minute stronger storm that cuts more north during nowcast time. ++ Lake enhancement
  12. I keep thinking of those "if it snows 3 inches or more on new years day" deals
  13. Long range NAM tho.. take it with grain of salt
  14. Or 3 days.. lots to go still. Anything on the table imo
  15. Which is worse than a DAB for those keeping score on the ALEK speak. Or he may need a wellness check
  16. It means he doesn't agree with the models, and/or an attempt at reverse psychology.
  17. LOT mentioned this as a possibility. Interesting
  18. Some yellows and oranges popping up on radar.. If it can stays all snow for a bit
  19. Dry slot potential somewhere with this thing
  20. Agreed.. it's also the CMC tho :). But sounds like that is a preferred blend of what GFS and Euro show, so wise to go with it in this case I guess
  21. Little worried about temps and mixing here on our area
  22. True. But there also may not be much of a storm left to track either. Still too far out to hang hat on any solution
  23. The "4 main regimes" part is interesting to me tho. If you can fit 100 years or so worth of data into these buckets and try to then analyse it.
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