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ChiTownSnow

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Everything posted by ChiTownSnow

  1. Wasn't GHD 2 showing a similar setup 4- 5 days out? but ultimately turned more of a west to east trajectory?
  2. Agreed. The risk here is that it doesn't bomb out until it's north east of here, giving upper Michigan the huge hit. But either way it's looking like a white Christmas and will be fun to watch
  3. Yes.. This is why applaud LOT's verbiage and deemphasizing amounts at this point.
  4. Also weaker (thus far) Edit -. Not by much as it really wraps up
  5. I will also add that the specific verbiage used now holds more weight, as over the last few years LOT has used their words very responsibly and carefully.
  6. So look for the late Tuesday or Wednesday time frame. Given holiday maybe more late Tuesday? Assuming current guidance continues
  7. Question.. given that it is around the holidays, when do you think winter storm watches would be hoisted? I would assume giving the situation, a bit earlier than normal?
  8. Although track wise GFS has caved a bit to other models, this is NOT the same storm the EURO had a few runs ago. Just need to level set a bit
  9. The end of the NAM run looks interesting for early next week.. But it's also the end of the NAM run
  10. Per GFS, the 20th is looking more and more interesting
  11. Nice consolation prize snow showers going on imby
  12. Let's also see what happens with the 19th-20th . Once that becomes clearer may help sort everything out
  13. Call me crazy I guess, but I actually think it's a step in the right direction over the last few GFS runs. Especially given what we just saw with the most recent storm, If you assume that the GFS is too aggressive and fast with the Arctic front, then everything pulls back west again
  14. I think the models are too fast/aggressive with the Arctic front, both in timing/speed, and strength which is creating havoc with the opperational models in spinning up a storm If everything slows down a bit (which I think it will) then the Christmas week storm will come back again again in some fashion
  15. New drinking game.. Every time someone mentions "CAD" this year...sheesh.
  16. I'm not saying I do, or it will be. I'm saying I'd rather have the model show that this far and have it back off a bit vs showing confluence setting up around I-80 as ND the we n hope it pushes further
  17. I'd much rather have the suppression that the GFS is selling this far out, than the big GLC at this point. Plenty of time for the ol'e NW turn and will our way into a Great lakes cutter GFS verbatim looks like true CAD though.
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