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ChiTownSnow

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Everything posted by ChiTownSnow

  1. Good track .. wish it would cut and really ramp up on the backside
  2. I heard somewhere that the ORD official measurement was in good hands
  3. Was like that here upon onset.. quickly changed to flakes
  4. Some light graupel falling now. Right on schedule though. Good thing about graupel is it sticks right away
  5. Agreed.. But it was for different reasoning back then.
  6. I'm okay if it explodes and peaks way more north/west- as long as it then goes due east Even if it weakens as it does, at least we'll get the training effect
  7. Seems to have more of a West to East trajectory to it in N Illinois.
  8. Waiting to see what the GFS does, if consistent with the NW trend then I'm sold and will enjoy my 4 inches, hope for a bump with any lake enhancements that may pan out If GFS shows correction back south or stronger, well then game on
  9. The bleeding will not stop unless morale improves.
  10. Makes sense.. a 5 inch peak storm during morning commute is much different than a peak middle of night..etc
  11. I recall in the past, that little "mesolows" can set up out over the lake and pump moisture back into the region. Are these small/local features generally picked up on models? Or are these a as it happens type of thing?
  12. Most cases we are focused on how much the low strengthens as it heads northeast, but in this case we're focused on how quickly a weakens and gets torn apart. Is there a precedent for this scenario as reference? or how accurate do models predict the weakening of storms?
  13. A terrific post.... If it was posted 2 days ago with confidence
  14. Models aside,. What's our hunch on this one now for ORD? Under performance from current forecast? or spot on?
  15. Help me understand how the Low can be so far east and still support this lingering band? Honest question
  16. Always a wild card though..I never count on it happening verbatim
  17. That's the second time you have said that...is it you?
  18. The last page of the thread reminds me of work emails.. Which sux because I come here to get away from those
  19. My fear though is that it just tears apart and weakens rapidly It may sit on top of us but rapidly falls apart
  20. All models seem to be In relative agreement now? With track at least?
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