Sundog
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Everything posted by Sundog
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Lots of rain on the 0z NAMs
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Models have that PA blob moving NW of us or just falling apart.
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I'm not really sure why they're laughing or calling you a weenie, I don't want to see >80 until June. I'm sure if it was in the 60s in July people would whine. So why should I have to deal with 80s in October?
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Yea well the Euro lost any reliability reputation it might have had a long time ago. The flip flop from 12z is embarrassing.
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3k NAM also fires up a heavy line through NYC
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They're all over the place we won't know what will happen until it's actually raining like it's 1930
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Herps derps has at least half an inch for all tomorrow morning
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You got RGEM? For tomorrow.
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I see no Canadian products ran at 12z. I'm sure they're just glitching out.
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RIP GGEM
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The stingy UKMET that had the storm 5000 miles away on previous runs:
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Were you not in the mid to upper 80s the last few days?
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Even the UKMET now gives us some precip and that thing had it going toward Bermuda on previous runs.
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The models have been waffling all over the place, some had rain to our south, then over us, then north, etc.
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The 12z HRRR pops a low on the front and nails the tristate area with rain Wednesday morning.
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12z NAM much better than 6z
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Is that looking ahead of schedule?
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Any decent weather subscriptions out there? I wanted to get Weatherbell because they have nice graphics but it's 30 a month! I hate Pivotal's color scheme so I would never pay for it. Anything else good out there?
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Leftovers from Little Ice Age, those temps were never sustainable climate change or not. And, even by that time's standards that winter was harsh as per the article. North America was estimated to be up to 3.5C colder than the latest 30 year average. Which as we know for long time periods is an absolutely massive negative temp anomaly.
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I don't know why I bother to look at models at all. They're flip flopping even for Tuesday's rain, let alone next weekend. They're complete and utter trash.
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There are so many factors that affect seasonal snowfall averages that we can't just take monthly temps and draw a straight line to snowfall averages.
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The main difference is proximity to the ocean even if averages are or were the same. October water temps are very bad no matter what era you are referring to.
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Do you have any dates? And what did surrounding locations get?
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Maybe it's the proximity to the ocean then that's the problem. And I still disagree, October snowstorm in NYC is extremely unlikely, whether it's 2025 or 1725
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I think that month was very humid though which we haven't really had so far. It also finished almost +6 even compared to our shitty new normals, I don't know if we will get there.
