Malacka11

Right. That fatality rate would be a lot higher if we can't care for everyone that we need to.

Damn. That's actually the opposite of my assumption. Thanks for the info, kind negates my point lol

As a distance runner, I'm constantly out training in nearby parks and forest preserves. I went out today to check out a new area and I have to admit I was genuinely surprised by the number of people there. Like the lot was at least two-thirds full... an uninformed individual would never suspect that there's a pandemic sweeping through the country from that scene. On the flip side, I imagine that the risk of contagion at preserves is somewhat lower, simply because outside of the parking lot, you're much more spread out. If hobby-jogging or family walks serve as an outlet to prevent other, more rash behaviors, then I suppose it's a good thing. Side note: I wonder what effect wind speeds have on an airborne disease's ability to spread. It would be interesting to see what sneezes/exhalations look like on a windy day like today versus, say, in a supermarket.

This stuff is sticking to branches like super glue. Wow.

If protesters in Hong Kong can clear routes for first-responders, then it can be done here too. Christ.

I just got turned away from my dentist appointment for having a fever of 99.8°F. Got home and measured myself. I don't have a fever.

This lady yesterday who claimed to be an EMT argued to me her firm belief that COVID 19 had already spread throughout the entire world long before the supposed patient zero was infected. Her evidence included notions such as "lots of people getting sick with bad colds this winter", including herself after she went on vacation. She tried telling me that all a bad case of COVID-19 really is, is a bad case of pneumonia, but when I asked her what her point was, she sort of just looked at me in disbelief and said it was nice talking to me. I guess she didn't realize that what she was saying argued against her point. I know it sounds a little contrived, but I swear on my life that's exactly how the conversation went. I'm not trying to be belittling in the slightest, but there's a difference between driving ambulances and studying diseases.

I know nobody gives a damn about what my accuweather app says, but just in case somebody does, Aurora's up to 8-12 now. Maybe this is some crossover episode between two universes and in the other one this is a major blizzard. Dunno anymore.

I'm just hoping that this whole thing shows up tomorrow fifty miles north of what models predict because there's definitely not gonna be any northerly correction at this point lol

Now we start the trend back up at 18z bahahaha

AccuWeather just released a notification about this storm "possibly being the largest of the season", with 6"-10" amounts. Bit late to the party I'm afraid

Dude yeah. Like, it's one thing that it's trending south of Chicago and all, but the fact that the heavy snow was once modeled in Wisconsin is mind blowing.

This isn't a shot at the model -this is me trying to further get everyone's hopes up- but the storm has regained some substance on the 00z ICON

I think we all need to take a step back and relax. At least for those of us in Chicagoland. We've done it. We're in the game.

I feel like you and I switched souls now. Suddenly, I'm the one worried about the weakening trend while you are the voice of confidence.

Kinda worried about how the ICON just shit itself ngl

Genuine question, can someone please explain why the Kuchera method outputs more snow on the Euro, but less on most other models (for this storm)?

Don't have access to Kuchera maps, but 10:1 for the Euro, though not quite as impressive as 12z, isn't totally lame.

We still have at least two more major models to wait through tonight

Shhhhhh....

Even for 10:1, those are some pretty high totals. Let's just assume this storm (as depicted by the NAM) occurs... what would ratios, winds, etc. look like?

5.5" iirc

GEFS well south

CMC hasn't budged a whole lot Edit: so commences the true model-hawking

What I find to be mildly amusing, and if anything, a good sign, is that there are a lot of GEFS members showing action in like Wisconsin. Only about a like 700 miles of spread...