Malacka11

Maybe I'm squinting at it too hard but it looks like the passage of the evening QLCS is bumping earlier instead of later, which I'd love to see it with even half a lux of sunlight left. Also: .UPDATE... Issued at 1015 AM CDT Fri Apr 17 2026 There is a trailing boundary extending south from ongoing convection across the Minneapolis area. This boundary may be an initial source for forcing as it spreads towards northern Illinois in the mid afternoon time frame. The airmass is still stable per the extensive area of billow clouds across Iowa, however we have noted a significant uptick in the dewpoints out ahead of this feature. Instability progs would suggest by the time this boundary arrives northern Illinois should destabilize, and thus there at least some concerns for a leading round of convection, which could be in the form of supercells with an all hazard threat. Some questions still exists as to whether this will just graze the local area or continue to push closer to the Chicago metro area. There is a shortwave across Missouri that also slide through the area ahead of the cold front which could be a mechanism to keep convection farther east, so this will be a mesoanalysis focus in the coming hours. Limiting factors for this first round convection having a larger footprint would be that the forcing is a bit more subtle, and we still have a fairly deep dry layer ahead of this boundary. Regardless of this, low level flow will reintensify ahead of the cold front which should help to keep instability up into the evening hours, where a damaging wind threat would be the highest concern, along with a QLCS tornado threat. Thoughts from the morning AFD still tell the story quite well. KMD

rockford more like rockedford

xtended looks warm + active too?

This is like after 20 minutes too fwiw

Easy inch plus here fucking never heard something like this before

Nice watch

This is fucking cool we do indeed need all four seasons

I thought you were talking about a bug this am

Fr he's always set the standard. I think it's just a Simpsons reference fwiw having done some googling

That part I got, I meant literally what is "smarch" a combination of if morch is march+torch

I'm sorry I'm pretty sure I understand the vibe but what is smarch again

This is what my parking lot looks like atm. The tornado intercept shitbox is sitting right outside frame also partially submerged. This does happen every time it rains somewhat hard apparently.

We actually changed over here in westmont atm. Heavy pixie dust still but at least it's changed over. Don't really expect to be on the right side of the band tonight but just getting the grass white for the cold is swag

It's a sign you're successfully reeling the slablizzard in

Best model