Shocker0

3 minutes ago, Wintersnow888 said:

Already over the forecast amount by a factor of 3 haha

There's around 4 inches going to Pleasant Hill. Crazy. Not bad for 2 hours. Not as much where I live because the band scooter just west

Mayland has a ton of snow in spots! Will share pics when I get home. Cars in ditches too

The roads are white here, but it looks like the heaviest band from Cookeville ended up going just south of here

4 minutes ago, John1122 said:

Got high hopes that holds together for us all. 

Starting to come down pretty good here now so maybe it will. It was headed directly for us from Cookeville. It isn't as breezy here though. The camera in Cookeville is now coated so you can only see a corner of the screen and it looks pretty white!

12 minutes ago, John1122 said:

I don't know if it's the better radar coverage or not, but that band heading into Cookeville looks nice. It was showing up on the hi-res models yesterday but looks even better than they had it. 

Probably just better than expected. Looks like it's ripping pretty good so far:

28 here, but 35 in Cookeville and the snow is sticking for having just started 5 minutes ago.

Just started coming down pretty heavily in Cookeville and that band is moving up the Plateau now toward Crossville, slowly but surely.

https://putnamcountytn.gov/cookeville-live-square

Seemed a lot colder than predicted last night here. It was 17 at midnight and got all the way down to 6 by around 3am, which ended up being the low. At 7am it was 8 degrees and has warmed up to 32 now.

1 hour ago, Wintersnow888 said:

I drove down to town and it's amazing how much more we got than they did in Crossville proper....that extra elevation and being far enough NW really helps us out here. Wondering if being closer to the edge of the plateau helps also?

I think being on the edge helps, because Monterey and Jamestown are lower elevation than us but right on the edge of the Plateau and also get a lot of snow. Where Crossville proper is more in the middle of the Plateau. Eastern areas of the plateau don't seem to get as much snow even if they have higher elevation than us so I think it tapers off as it gets closer to Rockwood and areas like that usually. 

I went to town this morning also and it was pretty much clear after 3-4 miles on the interstate. This system also seemed to stay kinda north with the snow so I didn't expect anything really down there but in years where we get a lot of NW Flow events it seems like you really notice a big difference in accumulation in the above areas compared to in town or areas on the east side of the Plateau. Maybe someone in here can explain it better than me but yes, the Western Plateau seems to always do well compared to the Eastern except in certain times when a storm tracks over the southern areas more.

1 hour ago, PowellVolz said:

You and John have had more days with snow on the ground than without since Christmas it seems like.


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Until this dusting, I saw flakes fall only 3 times the entire winter here (all since January 3rd) but all three events were 4-6 inches until now. So basically if it was gonna snow, it made each one of them count here for sure. Same for John's part of the Plateau I believe. Seemed like from 2017-2019 all we ever got here was very cold dry snows that added up to 1" or less each time so it's good to have actual decent storms the last couple winters again.

There is a pile of snow that slid off the roof of one of the houses at work that has been there since the January 3rd snow and survived a couple big rainstorms so I figure it will last through the next two weeks most likely or longer.

Dusting in Crossville from the snow early this morning. Not much but we weren't supposed to get anything anyway so it's better than nothing.

1 hour ago, PowellVolz said:

I wouldn’t be surprised if you and @Shocker0 see more than expected.


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Hope so, we're not really expecting anything at all though. It's 45 at my house and have been having heavy rain. Surprisingly there is still some snow on the ground from the other day through all of it. I'd be happy if we could even pull off a dusting. If somehow more, even better.

EDIT: I say that but the cold front may be going through now because it's dropped 3 degrees in a five minutes.

3 hours ago, John1122 said:

It's surprisingly cold today as the rain has moved in and started. I'm sitting at 36 degrees, I though it was suppose to be 45-47.

I only got to 37 yesterday and the forecast high was 45. Looked like it was only gonna get to 42 today (forecast 46) but it has warmed up to 46 now

4 hours ago, Coach B said:

Can't complain at this point in the winter for most of middle TN based on this map. Looks like Oklahoma and the TX Panhandle along with much of Illinois and Indiana are the biggest losers. 

My buddy in Arkansas is in one of the very small white areas, so I'd say he's a big loser too lol.

36 minutes ago, Carvers Gap said:

Nah.  This isn't Jan 17-18 at all.   There have been a ton of storms to track so far this season.  That was insanely dry weather back in 17-18.  This pattern is nothing like that.  The STJ is active.  The cold is not as intense which allows storms to track at much higher latitudes.  We just don't live at a latitude where it snows every week.  The past two weeks have been a great run for many. Heck, IMBY, we probably have had less than most, but it has still been good.  I like next week.  Tuesday is a time frame to watch.  I think this weekend is a whiff.  Honestly, the storm doesn't seem to be getting itself together.  Maybe that changes, but just seems anemic at this point.  So, on to the next one.  Tuesday looks like a minor system on the 12z GFS, and maybe something cooking right after that if the 0z Euro is correct.  12z GFS has that late week system as well.

Oh yeah, we've had a lot of snow in Crossville this year, I just meant that as of now the next couple of weeks look much colder than we've had in an extended period since 2018, but again the snow chances currently don't look high. Or if we do get snow, I'm afraid the pattern will flip immediately after and warm up again.

10 minutes ago, PowellVolz said:

Yeah that would definitely be a punch in the gut. Lucky this pattern is just now going into a really good 500mb look and I think this isn’t our last GOM opportunity. There will also be wrinkles in the flow that only high res will pick up on less than 48 hours out that can easily drop a couple of inches with NW flow. I still don’t think Friday’s system is off the table.


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Yeah even just a small NW Flow event in these conditions and we could have snow-cover for several days. Hopefully something comes our way so we aren't wasting cold weather on just being cold.

I really hope we aren't about to have two weeks of frigid weather and 0 snowfall. Shades of January 2018, except this time there would be snow all around us.

The only pics I can really find from the February 3, 1998 snowstorm that hit McCreary County, KY where I lived at the time (also hit some areas of the Plateau). I believe we were supposed to get 2-4" after a changeover from heavy rain. It changed over much earlier than expected due to dynamic cooling. Went to bed with a dusting and woke up to over 2 feet of the heaviest wet snow I've ever seen. We couldn't open our front door so we had to climb out a window and walk to my Aunt's house 1/3 mile down the road because she had a generator and we didn't. The whole walk (which wasn't easy with that much snow) you could hear trees popping everywhere and falling, so that was an added element of danger.

School was out for three weeks, power was out for two, and the National Guard was called in to help clean up because so many trees went down. I would love to find more pictures from it but it's a struggle unfortunately. It's probably the only snowfall I've been through that I didn't enjoy just because of how stressful it was on the family and not being able to go anywhere or have power for weeks.

OHX did a writeup on the storm (https://www.weather.gov/ohx/19980203). Check out the snow totals and notice how elevation played a huge factor just like in this weekend's snow. Williamsburg, KY, just 15 miles east of McCreary County, recorded 4.8" while FEMA.gov notes this for McCreary:

BACKGROUND

During early February 1998, McCreary County, Kentucky experienced a record snowfall event receiving up to 30 inches of snow. The heavy snow caused damage to overhead utility lines and left large amounts of debris on the roadways. As a result, FEMA-1207-DR-KY was declared. The severity of the snow combined with the remote mountainous terrain effectively stranded the county's emergency personnel and snow removal equipment. In response to this, the County Judge requested that citizens assist with the removal of downed trees and snow to facilitate bringing the county emergency resources back on line. The citizens of McCreary County responded to the request and voluntarily assisted in the debris removal.

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Jamestown, TN was also hit hard, receiving 21" of snow. OHX notes this: 1998- Snowstorm brings treacherous driving conditions, school closures, and widespread power outages to the Cumberland Plateau. Interstate 40 is closed at Monterey for 18 hours due to the heavy snow. Traffic is backed up for 13 miles. Winds gust to 50 mph at times during the snowstorm. Approximately 100,000 electric customers lose power. TEMA reports damages of about $5 million.

2 hours ago, PowellVolz said:

I’m still laughing at his “random band of snow” that kept him from giving himself an A grade. I mean… if you feel the need to go on social media and grade yourself…. It’s like the jokes tell themselves sometimes.


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I wish we had to option to assign our own grades in school

12 hours ago, Runman292 said:

I saw something pretty funny on his facebook page during the day on Sunday. Someone asked him why MRX has higher snow totals forecast than WATE? He responded something like "I respect my collegues in Morristown, but I disagree with them and read the models differently." Along with his #NoHypeWeather and #KeepingitReal hashtags, you can see the arrogance. Something that really bothers me about WATE is their nonstop back patting when it comes to their "most accurate forecast in america" award that they won. 

I think the #NoHypeWeather hashtag actually should be #WeSeverlyDownplayPossibleMajorStormsBecauseTheyJustDontHappenHereOftenSoWeAreGoingToIgnoreAllDataShowingOtherwiseAndPrayWeAreRight

3 hours ago, Runman292 said:

This is hilarious. WATE is giving themelves huge kudos for how they did with the forecast for this system. I definitely didn't think they got an A- when they whiffed big time in the central and southern valley. 

This forecast works for like 80% of winter events in East Tennessee anyway so it's hard to be wrong especially when you make such general predictions lol.

A few more pics from the snow taken today after the clipper did really well here and added a couple more inches. The next couple days will be sloppy with the melting and incoming rain but it's pretty for now:

The clipper seems to have overproduced here NW of Crossville, but those usually do here with the NW Flow. After cold rain most of the day yesterday it has turned into a decent snow event here and probably most of the forum area since some weren't supposed to get anything but flurries.

(Picture sucks but its from security cam with frozen water on it and i dont feel like going out yet lol)

This has become a decent snow here in Crossville and finally stuck to the trees which made it prettier. Took a few pics with the camera again just before dark.