Shocker0
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Posts posted by Shocker0
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Longest pure snow we've had today. Hopefully no more switching with these rates
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2 minutes ago, John1122 said:
Around 5-6 more hours per the HRRR. It's just clearing Nashville.
Hope so. With the pivot, I could see it actually snowing longer here than the south and east areas of us, where it switched over sooner. Maybe that was why it took longer here was that it pivoted quicker there and changed over. It's been coming down good the last 15min though.
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Hardest it has snowed since early this morning here. Hopefully it does pivot or we only have a couple hours left.
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2 minutes ago, John1122 said:
Mine was similar until a couple of hours ago and it's just been heavy snow since. It quickly covered the slush.
Yeah this is the longest it has snowed here. Don't wanna jinx it and say it won't change back over again, but seems encouraging. Just not sure how much we have left moving in.
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Almost all of this fell overnight. Somehow it has rained all day and most of the snow stayed on the ground even though it's been 33 degrees the whole time. Very slushy. We probably have had an inch of rain on top of the snow.
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1 minute ago, John1122 said:
Western Campbell.
Ok lol. I was about to say if anything far Western Cumberland County looks bleaker than here did. Usually the areas that perform the best though.
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My coworker on the Cumberland/White line at 1900ft has no snow on the ground. In every other system they do really well usually. The models did kinda show a warm nose hitting the entire White County almost all week and it must've been pretty accurate. And since I'm only 15 miles away it must've partially got to us as well. He said it just now started snowing there finally.
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13 minutes ago, John1122 said:
I've officially reached satellite sweeping stage.
The difference between here and Crossville at 2000 is stark. I hate it for Shocker. I just saw a photo from around 2000 in Western CC and it's probably 5 inches.
Western Campbell County or Cumberland County? Because I am at 1980ft in Western CC so basically 2000. I mean it's white here and is snowing but it was raining when a lot of places were getting snow the past 3-4 hours here.
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27 minutes ago, PowellVolz said:
I think there’s a fine line between being underneath the core dynamics but not too close to the L that the temps are warmer. I think maybe you are not benefiting from dynamic cooling like SE Tennessee is.
.The weird thing is that places north west east and south of me were all getting snow while it was raining here though lol. I can't explain it. It's snowing here now but the system doesn't look like it'll be sticking around here too much longer.
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29 minutes ago, John1122 said:
An area 600 feet lower than me, but just to my southwest got 2 inches here this morning while I struggled to a sloppy mixed up inch. It's like there are pockets of random warmth in the atmosphere.
And then I saw a pic from Caryville Mountain where it was deeper than an outstretched hand. Just the weirdest system I can remember. It's snowing here again now, but no clue if it will decide to randomly go back to rain again like it has all day. We'll see.
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1 minute ago, John1122 said:
This is the strangest event I've ever seen. The models just showed random slots of rain/mix/snow in unusual locations and I didn't believe it. They were right though.
Yeah it's really weird. And elevation definitely hasn't been the key factor either. Seems like the further south you are the better. Apparently the warm nose set right up over Western Cumberland County and random other spots and won't leave. I have no clue how the snow from this morning is still on the ground.
It's pouring snow in town according to WATE cameras too and they are 1850ft and further south.
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Incredibly it is still managing to rain here at 2000ft elevation. Overrated as bleep here.
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17 minutes ago, Holston_River_Rambler said:
You could've went to WATE website to look at the weather camera ay Fairfield Glade instead lol. Either way, this is busting big time right now in Crossville and a lot of other areas. The heavy stuff falling the past hour or two was supposed to be snow but is rain. I'm not seeing the 5"-10" on the WSW currently. We still have most of the snow on the ground somehow that fell this morning but since then it's been almost all rain I think
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One more pic for now...still 33. No problems sticking to everything even after the rain. I'm sure Wintersnow888 is probably asleep but I'm curious if anyone else around Crossville is seeing snow right now since the radar shows rain even over me. EDIT: Looking at Crossville weather camera it looks like some snow at least in the street lights.
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1 minute ago, John1122 said:
I'd guess you're good to go for the rest of the event. You're going to rack up I suspect, unless the warm nose MRX mentioned changes you to sleet or freezing rain. I actually started as snow and am now rain/snow mixed. I'd guess 150-200 feet above me is getting moderate snow right now. I wouldn't be surprised if I wasn't rain/snow mixed until noon or later while a few hundred feet away it just piles up. MRX mentioned that there wasn't much left to potentially cool the column any more for hours from now.
It's snowing some of the biggest flakes I've ever seen right now. TWC has us going rain for 3 hours but I'm hoping it won't. The flakes are so big you can see the shadow of individual ones falling from the porch light
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It's definitely a very wet snow. I really can't believe it's snowing based on the radar. It shows rain and everywhere around us as rain. I am at 1980ft elevation though. I'll check back in an hour and see if it's still doing it.
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Beginning to stick to the cars and grass but I don't have much faith it'll stay snow for the rest of the event, but maybe it will stay dynamically cooled under heavy rates
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Just woke up and looked outside and it has switched to mostly or all snow where I am in Crossville. The radar showed snow all night but it was rain, and now shows rain and it's snowing. Not sure if it has been switching back and forth between rain and snow while I was asleep, but the temp dropped quickly from 35 to 33 in the past 5 minutes when it started.
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8 minutes ago, PowellVolz said:
Could that be because the system tracked further west? Or is he having p type issues?
.He's just been getting rain while everyone else has been getting snow all around him
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4 minutes ago, John1122 said:
So far, it's overperforming everywhere. Parts of Iowa got 14-15 inches. I believe it had been showing 6-8 there.
Unfortunately, past performance doesn't guarantee future success.
On the other hand, my buddy in Batesville, AR has 0" still and NWS had him at 3-5". But it's like he's in a snow dome or something.
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7 minutes ago, Wintersnow888 said:
Agreed. You and I are much higher elevation-wise than downtown Crossville.,. Have gotten 8 inches before and driven to town where they had maybe an inch and a half
Yep, we benefit from being 150-200ft higher than town, plus further Northwest closer to the edge of the Plateau so the storms smack into us first and stick around longer. I remember in January 2016 we got around 10" with 2ft drifts in our part of the county while town ended up with 2-4" because they had mixing issues until late in the afternoon while it switched to snow here several hours earlier. I could see tomorrow play out like that, but I can also seeing it be a bust everywhere. Hopefully it isn't though, but I'm not getting my hopes up lol.
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19 minutes ago, Reb said:
There is a room available there, going to try and convince the wife to do a little getaway
Awesome! Monterey or Crossville? Monterey looks to do better than Crossville with this storm and that's typical ins almost every winter storm here. But with them being further north and west it may help cut down on mixing issues there. I just hope it isn't a bust all around as there is potential for it with this system for sure. But that looks to be one of the more solid areas as every model keeps spitting out 6-12"+ it seems.
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Just now, Shocker0 said:
Monterey or Jamestown are usually better than Crossville. Or NW Cumberland County is good but no hotels here other than a campground on Exit 311
Or stay at the hotel right off Exit 317 and drive to exit 311 after the snow as there is almost always more there. Monterey is Exits 301 and 300 and has a nice hotel in town though (Bethel Inn & Suites)
Jan 16-17th Boom or Bust
in Tennessee Valley
Posted
Had to go to Crossville and needless to say I40 isn't doing too hot