SnowGolfBro

Trying to get one of those Kansas bands. 2 feet would be nice. 

4 minutes ago, stormtracker said:

Y’all should really go to the NE forum and get a load of that thread title. Ngl, I like it. 

Lol. I just checked it out. They have a poster in their named Weather Willy. I wonder if Weather Will is moonlighting? Hearing the GEFS came west.

1 minute ago, jayyy said:

This is exactly what I mean. How can this be correct? It looks like it attempts to correct itself, despite no mechanism present to push the storm WNW like that. That’s an odd track, no doubt.

Looking at 500 and 700, it seems like the storm (and associated precip shield) should be further west when it gets going initially off the NC coastline. 

Playing along here. If the low forms closer to the coast based 500 and 700. Then moves NNE as opposed to doing it’s money dance from Bermuda then 200 miles back west then up the coast. Maybe the precip shield respond with a more uniform distribution farther inland. 

3 minutes ago, Ravens94 said:

It finally does ditch the convection finally this run but to late. Low corrects far West near the vort

I know this is a weenie observation. But it wouldn’t take much for this to be  a lot better for the 95 crew. Which is keeping me interested. And i could care less if that means that it could also be off farther to the East because I’m already mostly out of the game verbatim.  I’m gonna ride this one to the end.

The NAM is really the perfect model for me to analyze. If it looks great then it’s sniffing out a trend. If it looks bad…then who gives a f*#* it’s the NAM lol

1 minute ago, Ravens94 said:

Maybe picking up on the PRE. If that’s still a thing with this storm lol

4 minutes ago, LP08 said:

I think the broadness is causing it to escape east initially (following convection on all models) since more energy is not consolidating at the base if it were sharper.

So just need the trough to sharpen at HH. Then one big push west at 0z and everybody eats. Not going to happen but this is the way

Maybe the GFS is out to lunch. That’s all i got.

3 minutes ago, SnowenOutThere said:

A slight change 

Easier to go from 2-4 to zero than 16-24 to zero. Poor bastards

10 minutes ago, anotherman said:

FWIW (probably not much).....

Roger Smith may be holding this guy hostage at the moment. Still hope he is right

6 minutes ago, Baltimorewx said:

The mean ticked east and totals down accross the board...even eastern shore.

At this range the Ens are going to follow the Op. Feels like the Euro is our last hope. If that is dashed, onto HH with renewed hope anyway lol

This is just like the DENNIS system from Always Sunny. 
 The NAM is currently nurturing dependence. We need todays’s runs to inspire hope. And we need the S not to happen on Friday lol

Well the cold air is arriving on schedule. Brisk out!

7 minutes ago, psuhoffman said:

I emailed the links to prevent posting them publicly to reduce the risk of trolls. But we haven’t had any issues so far. 

Would be nice if the 0z GFS continued the trend. I’d like see in real time why this will work for us. Either way your analysis is awesome and i look forward to the zoom!

2 minutes ago, stormtracker said:

Man, if we could just get a full phase. I'd even contemplate a human sacrifice.

I figured you were keeping some of these posters around for a good reason.

Just now, mappy said:

Really wish you would just wait and let models run instead of guessing. Sure, you were right about the NAM, but you were annoying during both the GFS and Euro runs. 

Seriously. Take the advice Randy keeps giving you. WAIT. 

I kind of like the dynamic. I’ll be up for @yoda pbp at 1am 

Euro/NAM/JMA all solid.  I wish the Euro had better friends

2 minutes ago, jewell2188 said:

CWG basically just declared this a non event 95 West. It’s over…. 

They can say with 28% confidence there will be 0-12 inches inside the beltway, still working out the boom and bust scenarios I’m sure

Just now, DDweatherman said:

Cmon France 

The French never fold am i rite!?

3 minutes ago, nj2va said:

Apparently, people think we live on top of Mt Washington and scoff at anything less than 28".

True, but when a HECS appears remotely possible all bets are off. This likely won’t work but I’ll wait until 12z Thursday to throw in the tail on the HECS hunt

1 minute ago, mappy said:

Oof, Euro snowmap is way too overdone. Has my area getting 10+ on ~.4 qpf

yeah. okay. 

Overdone but i think 15-1 is achievable. 25-1 is a bit of stretch lol 

I really like seeing that jackpot ESE of DC on this run. A 75 mile shift west (probably just slightly better timing) and we are Talking dogs living with cats

1 minute ago, stormtracker said:

Eastern shore cape land is getting pummeled.  6 inch line tickling DC

That’s what she said?!

17 minutes ago, WinterWxLuvr said:

That’s 141.42 miles southwest 

220 221 whatever it takes

100 miles souther and wester and we are pummeled. 100 miles easter and norther and we are in big trouble. About 84 hours to go.  I’m all in for a 2-4 inch storm from the upper level pass. But Ef it, I’m hunting big game now