SnowGolfBro

5 minutes ago, psuhoffman said:

Just watched a JB video for the first time in a couple years.  Confused. He favors the big storm to be inland (can’t fault that) then saying the pattern “finally breaks down and warms up” but is talking like he is taking a victory lap. Did I miss a bunch of cold and snow?  Maybe I slept through it. He has a huge area in above normal snow that hasnt had any snow, he is saying hey aren’t getting any, and a big warmup is coming and is acting like “nailed it”. Seriously someone who still follows him clue me in. 

Well he’s usually not right…so we may be on to something here! 

Just now, LeesburgWx said:

Guys, we already know GFS is New King, hands down, if it pulls off this win. It starts with 18z today

If we get a foot+ of snow next week, the Euro can come to the party too. No hard feelings

Just now, Ji said:

i know we love HECS hunting but the problem is--when we dont get a HECS..we dont even get a SECS....alot of times...we will go from 20 to 0 and waste 3 months of our lives.

Fixed it for you.

Just now, Sandstorm94 said:

GFS/JMA vs ICON/EURO/CMC... oof

Sent from my SM-S102DL using Tapatalk
 

I feel like the GFS/JMA combo has worked in the past. Why not once more?!

1 minute ago, BristowWx said:

^one thing for sure we are gonna need a bigger bottle of something for happy hour in a few hours...I can heard the pbp in my head already

“USA!” Open the good Bourbon”

”Caving to the king” Open the rail Bourbon

4 minutes ago, Paleocene said:

The 993 off Bethany Beach would work just fine lol

Just now, yoda said:

12z EPS just a tad different than the Euro OP at Day 9 lol

 

 

 

We still need the proper level of panic and sacrifices to the Reaper to get a good snowstorm. Weenie Handbook 101

10 minutes ago, WxUSAF said:

 

And this is representative of our most cordial threads

2 minutes ago, cbmclean said:

Looks like the northern great plains might be a wee bit chilly right before Xmas.

Kind of looks like the country will be lol. 

11 minutes ago, yoda said:

Through 240, 8 members drop greater then or equal to 2" of snow at DCA.  4 members drop 6"+... while 2 members are full fledged snowstorms (one member for all and one member for N VA/C MD)

Thanks @yoda!  Looking forward to @Weather Will posting ensemble snow %. Nice to have a good pattern setting up early in the season. Now we just need some discrete threats and LUCK!

Just now, yoda said:

There are a couple loltastic 12z EURO ensemble members for next Friday into Saturday FWIW

Go on………

Just need patience. And luckily this time of year, we have time to be patient. The best window for us lowlanders is 12/15 - 2/15 from a climo standpoint. IF the models have the progression somewhat close we are in good shape heading into prime climo. That’s about all we can hope for IMO. 

1 hour ago, leesburg 04 said:

Lol it hasn't even gotten cold yet and the talk is already about the reload....i love this place 

Everyone is hunting first flakes. Once we get those, it’s HECS or bust until March. Including myself in that commentary lol

Pounding rain and lightning in Woodbridge.

Pretty neat effect here in Montclair. Alternating between the sun poking out and heavy wind. But no rain. Right on the edge. Temp bouncing from hot in the sun to cold in the clouds lol

Doing fog well in Montclair.

44 minutes ago, nj2va said:

We will flip from 52 to 87 and humid with this pattern. Yay!

Sign me up for 87 and humid. I’ll take that over 15 degree Spring wind chills. 

The sunset was accurately modeled. I like our chances tomorrow

Heavy snow changes everything. We aren’t ever going to do well in Mid March with light to moderate rates during the day. But if Heavy snow materializes it’s game on. I’m in.

9 minutes ago, NorthArlington101 said:

Just for fun:

P15 looks right. March dynamics. Book it

11 minutes ago, BristowWx said:

So the most likely is the snow depth change.  Am I safe to hug that?  Is there a worse snow map to hug?  Is there a least snow most likely snow map?  How about a you ain’t getting shit map?  I’m open to suggestions

We tend to do well when the pessimism ratchets up and the Euro gets tossed faster than Dennis Rodman in his prime

Snow/graupel mix in Montclair. 34 degrees. It is what it is

47/27 in Montclair. Need some rates for any action down here i think. But i think we will get them. Glass half full!

2 minutes ago, Snowfan96 said:

Little love for northern areas - axis remains farther south when compared to the NAM3km, etc...

 

The GFS has been pretty consistent. We are like 12 hours to onset. Either going to score a coup or go down with the ship 

4 minutes ago, losetoa6 said:

Its February 11th 

 

. 5-6 weeks left to score accumulating snow for us nw 

That’s about right. This storm is far more important for us lowlanders. After PD we need to get really lucky to even get white rain lol