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StantonParkHoya

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Everything posted by StantonParkHoya

  1. StantonParkHoya
    It’s not at mid latitude. Maybe closer to SE Canada.
  2. StantonParkHoya
    No, I’m a realist in a world of propagandists and hype men. 4 whole inches. Wow. I picked up a pinecone from my driveway today. If people would stop treating every storm like the next coming of Camille, and stop hyping imminent RI, people would take threats more seriously when appropriate.
  3. StantonParkHoya
    A little over 3 inches at RDU
  4. StantonParkHoya
    Sun is out in Raleigh
  5. StantonParkHoya
    Debby is going to have lunch in Pennsylvania Friday, I think the trough will pick her up
  6. StantonParkHoya
    They’ve only had a little over 3 inches https://forecast.weather.gov/data/obhistory/KILM.html
  7. StantonParkHoya
    Guessing landfall 9-10ish pm NHC now forecasting Debby to be subtropical when it gets to NC
  8. StantonParkHoya
    Looks like Charleston or somewhere just north
  9. StantonParkHoya
    WRAL was asking shop keepers in Wrightsville why they hadn’t boarded up windows and if they were going to evacuate. I think it’s partly hype = $, and partly these kid reporters are from like Iowa and have no clue.
  10. StantonParkHoya
    You’re literally in Boulder, CO. No dog in the fight.
  11. StantonParkHoya
    Honestly, the media is insufferable during these types of deals. If you were to be unaware and tuned in, you’d think Katrina was about to descend. The flags aren’t even moving.
  12. StantonParkHoya
    They just showed Myrtle Beach on the news and the sun was out and people were sunbathing
  13. StantonParkHoya
    Sure looks like it. Almost like it’s riding up the beach to Charleston.
  14. StantonParkHoya
    Only has ~4 inches for RDU
  15. StantonParkHoya
    12z Euro speeds this up a good bit. By Friday morning it has it over Roanoke, VA
  16. StantonParkHoya
    I’ll toss QPF but it’s had about 15 runs now with a second landfall near SAV/Hilton Head. Can’t discount our 2nd best model.
  17. StantonParkHoya
    Unless the GFS were to verify. Only gives ~3 inches at RDU. Im also dubious this is still a TS
  18. StantonParkHoya
    Topsail is going to be fine
  19. StantonParkHoya
    My goodness she is hollowed out
  20. StantonParkHoya
    Think you’re letting radar hallucinations conflate fixed position. It’s currently just south of Waycross, GA, pretty close to where it’s supposed to be.
  21. StantonParkHoya
    Circulation is widening out
  22. StantonParkHoya
    Watch Levi’s video from today where he details the difference
  23. StantonParkHoya
    There’s a difference in making it out to shelf water and Gulf Stream
  24. StantonParkHoya
    That’s exactly the difference I’m noting. GFS is just as plausible as other outcomes.
  25. StantonParkHoya
    For RDU it matters to the tune of about 6 inches
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