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Thinksnow18

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Everything posted by Thinksnow18

  1. Thinksnow18
    If this image doesn't say it all about the models right now...some are showing a tank AO, some show a positive AO and some are in between. The very image of uncertainty.
  2. Thinksnow18
    Well the last 2 runs of the GFS through the next 2 week's is about as terrible as I've witnesses in a long while. If you are staring at grass now chances are by the end of 2 weeks you'll be staring at grass then as well.
  3. Thinksnow18
    Well south buffalo residents!!! Us peasants here in the Northtowns are playing corn hole this Christmas Eve!
  4. Thinksnow18
    LR GFS this morning shows an impressive cold dump just after the new year right through the end of the run, but it appears we stay cold and dry. Oh well if it actually comes to fruition at least the backyard will freeze and I won't have as much mud in my house as I do outside.
  5. Thinksnow18
    Good one Lloyd
  6. Thinksnow18
    And it begins...
  7. Thinksnow18
    I've been mentioning that storm for 2 days now. Its been really consistent the past few days. Yes it's WAAAAYYYY out in unicornville but I like the consistency.
  8. Thinksnow18
    It's from the New Years Day storm that first showed on the GFS yesterday and now support from the GEFS...eerily the Goofus has been pretty good with long lead times this season as it sniffed out that southern storm almost 10 days out. I'm not counting any chickens, however, I am lending credence to some kibd of storm over the NE towards the New Year.
  9. Thinksnow18
    He goes on to say in his Twitter response that this should become winters main event but doesn't happen til early January.
  10. Thinksnow18
    Well I've been trying to upload hour 228 on this mornings GFS run as it shows what would be a Christmas Eve miracle...you know if it wasn't 228 hours out.
  11. Thinksnow18
    This band is no joke!!! 2 to 3 inches an hour in heart of band
  12. Thinksnow18
    Yeah is that expected amounts after today's event because as of the 7am timeframe today I had bare lawn in Williamsville
  13. Thinksnow18
    Seriously! What happened to the band??? It just completely dissipated and not one model showed that.
  14. Thinksnow18
    What happened to the band???
  15. Thinksnow18
    And now it's smoking the Northtowns
  16. Thinksnow18
    +SN in Williamsville. Roads are trash already.
  17. Thinksnow18
    Added to the list of WWA is Niagara and Orleans counties...i would not be surprised at all the see northern Erie and Genesee upgraded as the event draws near.
  18. Thinksnow18
    Upstream radars look incredible...and all LES at this moment SW winds...superior looks the best but there is definitely a nice response.
  19. Thinksnow18
    The latest in-house models on 4 and 7 show longer residency time in metro and both stations mentioned thunder snow, on 4 their in house model didnt leave the metro until about 1pm and 7 was similar...4-8 for 4 and 4-7 for 7. I think metro reaches the upper level.
  20. Thinksnow18
    WWA for all of Erie, Genesee, Wyoming, Chautauqua Co's midnight to 7pm tomorrow night...4-7 Northtowns and 5-9 south and east of buffalo.
  21. Thinksnow18
    I have to think this is a classic setup for the metro as the winds are going full fetch up the lake. That has, in the past, overcome not so great parameters. Will be interested in the placement of the NAM tomorrow morning.
  22. Thinksnow18
    That also shows a good 6 to 10 inches for metro...this could be a good one
  23. Thinksnow18
    I'll tell you what, all the in-house models on WIVB 4 and WKBW 7 show the band into the metro and Northtowns from about 5am to noon. Oddly Todd on 4 is only saying 2-4 for metro and 1-3 for Niagara county...just alone if rates are what is being forecast of 1-2" hour then double those totals to each sector and that would be logical.
  24. Thinksnow18
    Im starting to think some watches will go up tomorrow morning for Northern and Southern Erie counties
  25. Thinksnow18
    Well whatever accumulation the Niagara Frontier receives it will be the last substantial one for a while. Hopefully the late December period has a colder, snowier solution.
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