Jump to content

Thinksnow18

Members
 View Profile  See their activity

  • Posts

    4,144

  • Joined

  • Last visited

 Content Type 

Everything posted by Thinksnow18

  1. Thinksnow18
    Checking radars upstream in lower Michigan the snow looks really enhanced more than singular or multibanded in nature.
  2. Thinksnow18
    I don't buy it. I think once you get north of the galleria (south of the 90) there will be an inch at best...these bands usually have a sharp cutoff to them and it's pretty cruel!
  3. Thinksnow18
    Just read it...it states just south of metro buffalo from Lackawanna to just west and south of Batavia...well I guess that puts me on the better luck next time middle finger...
  4. Thinksnow18
    That has potential warning criteria snowfall. I'm kinda excited about that systems potential. If the EURO is correct (and it has been really consistent with this low placement) then it would put the CWA on the right front quadrant and best lift. I could see a strip of snow of 8 or 10 inches.
  5. Thinksnow18
    9" at KBUF...wait...Kuchera method...3.5" at KBUF!!!
  6. Thinksnow18
    Much of WNY rose to the upper 40's for much of the day and overnight hours...dewpoints were also in the 40's...my 10" snowpack was just about wiped out yesterday as I had bare grass in the backyard and about 2" in the front yard. Picked up about 1 1/2" this morning to freshen things up but the damage was done.
  7. Thinksnow18
    You know the forecast was a huge bust in a lot of ways yesterday...temps, precip amount, possible flooding from ice jams and runoff...not a good day yesterday for the meteorologists at the NWS
  8. Thinksnow18
    Euro has been lock step with this system and I've watched the GFS do it's normal dance in placement. I tend to also agree with the Euro in a 4 to 5 day lead time as that is where it's sweet spot seems to be.
  9. Thinksnow18
    Come on Euro!!!
  10. Thinksnow18
    Yeh after today's shitshow we need to replenish...i had expected to lose some snowpack but I'm also surprised how much is gone. That 5.1 at KBUF would be great and as long as next Tuesdays event doesn't take a left over lake Erie our pack should be all the way back.
  11. Thinksnow18
    Not a good sign for synoptic. If you look at the map as a whole only the GEM looks like a track is there...the other 2 are all lake driven...and once Erie freezes I think we may be struggling to get storms on the cold side. It's early, sort of, but I think at this moment climo snowfall in Buffalo will finish below average.
  12. Thinksnow18
    Not sure I buy that model run. A 1030 HP over eastern Canada and a LP off the southeast coast??? Too much clutter.
  13. Thinksnow18
    Yeah it got a lot warmer and the dew point much higher than anticipated...osu was wondering why I was so concerned about these upcoming lows cutting to our west. Im not the snow then melt 4 days later BS.
  14. Thinksnow18
    NWS buffalo now is suggesting maybe enough warm air for mixed precip next Tuesday or even plain rain for a time but for consideration to continuity and climatology will keep it all snow for now. If we get another cutter after the bullshit rains today that's gonna suck.
  15. Thinksnow18
    Lol you'll get your snows...lake Ontario never freezes so you can get lake effect well into the winter months.
  16. Thinksnow18
    Lol that's because the GFS is down and we can't see the optics!
  17. Thinksnow18
    Like I stated as long as there's snow in the Northtowns im good.
  18. Thinksnow18
    As in Williamsville with bullseye south buffalo and nearby southtowns??? I don't need to most but I don't want to be shutout either!!!
  19. Thinksnow18
    Yes!!! Selfishly for the Northtowns!!!
  20. Thinksnow18
    That SHOULD be good for a 2 or 3 hour period of heavy snow in the metro Northtowns and if right 4 to 6 inches
  21. Thinksnow18
    I just hope the models are on to something because the NWS is throwing a huge wet blanket over the opportunity for the metro.
  22. Thinksnow18
    Better than the NAM within 48 hours? O always though the hi res models like the 3k were best at LES.
  23. Thinksnow18
    If only we believed in the GEM!!!
  24. Thinksnow18
    Yeah Mike has backed off considerably on the LES potential for the weekend in the Metro. He is now looking at Sunday afternoon for our next snow change with accums Sunday night.
  25. Thinksnow18
    Same at KBUF
×
×
  • Create New...