LurkerBoy
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Everything posted by LurkerBoy
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60s coast
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Record warm Sunday?
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When is the relaxation posed to occur??
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Looks like Dec 2/3 is a warmup but beyond still looks chilly to me! Glad to hear that the LR is improving...since we have systems moving through every few days, I have no doubt that we'll have a fun Dec. Looks like Nov ends with a neg departure as well.
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What’s it look like? I don’t have access to EPS :/
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The LR doesn’t look that bad to me. Why are people being so gloomy? Looks like a modest relaxation then back to surprisingly good !
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Yuuuuuuuuuuuge bummer :/
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Much different tenor this year than many years previous...something different in the air...I like
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Yeah I'm confused, I really didn't think it was a full scale pattern change to AN/Pacific driven...
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Wait, to me it still looks very BN thru early Dec...? Doesn't that mean inherent good chances?
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What a weenie
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Looks like a quick spike in temp after thanksgiving that gets beautifully brought back down in time to start Dec.
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Looks like we could be a top 5 coldest Thanksgiving ever with the current modeling. Moderation thereafter definitely being shown, but it's nothing too crazy. I'm liking the evolution of this winter.
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I am not seeing the thaw, can somebody please illuminate which models are showing it, or is it being shown in more esoteric models than the usual?
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https://boston.cbslocal.com/2018/11/15/winter-weather-forecast-snowfall-prediction-boston-massachusetts-new-england-eric-fisher-wbz-tv/ Eric Fisher says cold and snowy
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How mild?
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Been snowing real winter snow in Brooklyn for the last couple hours. Magical.
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Lock it up
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?
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If my anecdotal memories are of any interest, I remember some big winters that followed a somewhat mild start to December. Clicking on around the 15th of dec
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I wouldn't be surprised if we moderate around the holiday for a time and early December. That happens frequently when we have cold mid-Novs. Looks to be that way - however, the lack of a torch signal is promising! Hopefully seasons in seasons
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An active period approaches. After some storminess with high thunder/lightning potential tomorrow and tomorrow night, we BN for a while. Then around 300hrs (GFS) a huge ridge builds in the east with what looks like a huge storm passage. We'll see.
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I wanna gobble that up!
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The long range continues to excite! Despite some yo-yoing, it is active and there is a potent source region for cold. I have a feeling we'll have a traditional northeastern end-to-fall with big swings in temps and thread-the-needle opportunities. According to Michael Ventrice, however, LR modeling has been extremely volatile of late. We'll see!
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Looks like after today/tomorrow we spike up again during the cutter (mayyyybe mid 60s? Hopefully a little more seasonable) then dive into a traditional November pattern.
