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NEG NAO

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Everything posted by NEG NAO

  1. NEG NAO
    18Z GFS - another flip flop
  2. NEG NAO
    both systems are stronger with larger precip field then some other models
  3. NEG NAO
    which events we getting these snow totals from ???
  4. NEG NAO
  5. NEG NAO
    More then likely we won't see anymore cutter solutions.............from any model - BUT this is a real thread the needle situation we could easily miss this to the south too now...IMO
  6. NEG NAO
    12Z EURO
  7. NEG NAO
    I don't have the web building capabilities either - plus some of the links on his page where he obtained all the information from the NWS are no longer working ..... Also I did find this but it is not really detailed with maps other various graphics and other stats A History of New York City Snowstorms Since 1900 - New York City Weather Archive (typepad.com)
  8. NEG NAO
    Snow and ice storm, February 8-9, 1994 - Storm Summary (raymondcmartinjr.com) Snow and ice storm, February 11, 1994 - Storm Summary (raymondcmartinjr.com) ALSO THIS PAGE I JUST POSTED THESE LINKS FROM ONLY GOES THROUGH 2012 - 2013 SEASON - ANYONE INTERESTED IN STARTING A PROJECT TO CONTINUE IT WHERE IT LEFT OFF ???
  9. NEG NAO
    I would be surprised if we have back to back SECS or MECS in the metro next week - BUT that would sure stop some of the belly aching about how winter is over here..........
  10. NEG NAO
    12Z CMC
  11. NEG NAO
    12Z GFS
  12. NEG NAO
    yesterdays 12Z and the total snowfall - to gain any confidence we need consistency - a few runs in a row of the same solution
  13. NEG NAO
    0Z Euro - yesterdays 12Z GFS was similar in amounts BUT we need a few runs in a row of this from more then 1 model to gain any confidence in coming days IMO
  14. NEG NAO
    0Z GFSv16
  15. NEG NAO
  16. NEG NAO
    0Z GFS north again for next weeks event - no real redevelopment before it encounters any blocking
  17. NEG NAO
    The EPS and GFS both showing around 10 inches in the same location - interesting............
  18. NEG NAO
    problem is that 2nd wave gets shoved south by the block - at least the models have reintroduced the idea of significant blocking and a stronger HP in southern Canada
  19. NEG NAO
    Good idea - FWIW the 12Z EURO has an initial wave for Monday and then another to follow
  20. NEG NAO
    yes different then both GFS and CMC with the temps especially
  21. NEG NAO
    12Z GFS - just for fun --- and then the not so fun CMC
  22. NEG NAO
    yes to try to get it right 200 hours in advance is a great challenge BUT as we close in on it it will get less and less challenging IMO - we have been through this many times since these forums started a long time ago
  23. NEG NAO
    ok then to be fair why not trust the 12Z CMC - a complete miss to the south ?
  24. NEG NAO
    and the 12Z GFS threaded the needle perfectly
  25. NEG NAO
    and it does redevelop and slide off the coast
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