KoalaBeer

35 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said:

I probably have similar back at home...maybe a bit less.

Measured just over 1.5" before I left for work at 9:40 AM. Despite it snowing at a good clip out there it's not really stacking up here at all. 

7 minutes ago, HIPPYVALLEY said:

If you strain your eyes you can make out a single blue pixel over the highest elevation in Methuen.

Rain and 33.6 here. I’m sure it’s ripping on that ridge the other side of town though. 

22 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said:

I never realized how much elevation variance there is in Methuen....just to my east by the river it goes down to like 40'...then a few miles ssw of me it gets up to 335'. I'm at 154'.

Much different from the uniform swamp of Wilmington, and should be interesting this winter.

Go hike up around old Methuen ski area which sits behind Forest Lake. It gains some elevation pretty quick and you can see were the toe ropes once were. The tree damage up there after last years paste job was phenomenal. I go and hike the dog up there after snowstorms all the time. Hoping we can cash in on a few inches tonight up here.

41 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said:

About 2 miles...

Was going to say I can pretty much drive a golf ball to NH from my house in Methuen!  Welcome to the neighborhood though. I've been living here 24 years and it's an awesome spot for getting the jack. Can't wait to hit the slopes with these early season storms delivering the goods to the resorts!

Could this be one of those exit 47 specials you guys were talking about last week with rain in Andover while its pounds snow here in Methuen? 

10:58 AM Radar scan.

16 minutes ago, Great Snow 1717 said:

Same here in Methuen. Absolute deluge.

I had to run out and drain the pool in it! Brief spin up out by the Lynn area though? Impressive couplet on radar velocity for a few frames.

Unfortunately I'm hearing reports of 3 fatalities in Lawrence through a second hand source. I'm always skeptical of second hand sources but they were spot on with the fatality just reported from the chimney on the car and the girl getting pulled out of the house with severe leg injuries before it was reported. Here's a screen grab from a video I took off mass ave but then I had to put the phone away. Way to hectic with first res-ponders flying by me to not be concentrating on the situation at hand. 

52 minutes ago, NorEastermass128 said:

Little brother goes to Merrimack. Can’t get ahold of him. 

If it makes ya feel better I didn’t see anything in the immediate vicinity of Merrimack. I drove right by most of what I saw was closer to Mass ave heading towards Lawrence. It was really bad. 

Explosions so far according to Mass state police. Falls in line with how many houses I saw.

Wow I'm still shaking. I was glued to following Florence but I was in North Andover as crap hit the fan. I got stuck in Lawrence getting home with homes on fire every street I turned down. It reeked of gas everywhere and no one was inside there homes. I breathed a huge sigh of relief when I got on the highway despite the wall of traffic.

14 minutes ago, SnowGoose69 said:

Even if the winds don’t catch up you still would prefer to not have a hurricane in an increasing phase as it makes landfall because it’s been shown there is a greater tendency for winds to effectively mix down in those cases.  We’ve seen weakening 125mph storms produce surprisingly minimal wind damage at landfall while a strengthening 95mph system produces gusts of 110-120mph

This right here! It's amazing to me how much more efficient these storms are at mixing winds to the surface in a strengthening phase. Looking better on satellite for sure and now starting to come into view of long range radar.

4 minutes ago, hawkeye_wx said:

Yeah, pretty much all of them are stalling and weakening Florence somewhere along the coast of NC or SC.

Disgusting especially if the eye barely manages to make it onshore. The coastal impacts are going to be extreme with most of those. 

Definitely curious to see what Euro ensembles show. Does any have the 00z ones available I don't think I ever saw them. 

3 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said:

Yea, if it slides down the coast, that it probably worst case for most.

Ya it's kind of crazy that a run like that could be almost worse case but if the stall trends even further offshore it could be an improvement. 

Anyone have the high res on the Euro? How close does the eye get before that drift to the SW? Either way you cut it though that is a brutal scenario. 

13 minutes ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said:

I wonder if the landfall stall for days will turn this into a smaller SE version of Harvey. Euro spits out 12-24” over NC and VA. 

Lets sure hope not. The Euro 12Z ensembles were pretty eye opening. More tightly clustered and less recurves. I'm waiting for tonights 0z runs and tomorrows 12z which should get some extra data into them. 

31 minutes ago, ROOSTA said:

No need to chase with it trending to my back-yard. Tic-tic-tic with each run S and W. (not cool whatsoever)  Hoping for intensification to get Flo to go poleward and thinking Outer Banks to the N extent down to GA/SC border to the S.  Just to far out to predict exact track, heck could be inside 24h and still left with a best guess scenario.    

Most guidance has trended slightly north today. FV3-GFS run might be the craziest model run I've ever seen.  Hit's around Wilmington around Cat3/4 intensity, stalls, loops out back over the water, restrengthens again just to slam right back into the Wilmington area. Regardless CMC and Euro still show hits but slightly north of previous runs I can't see it making a run at FL at this point. 

Edit: I say that and HWRF has it sitting right off of FL at end of the run. Prob not best to use it for track however. 

Having a hard time believing the past two GFS runs although I wish it wasn't that way.  Wasn't it the very last to shows the more westerly track on Irma when all the other guidance was pretty locked on? Looks like the 12Z Euro and FV3 are both going to show landfalls around the SC/NC border. 

23 minutes ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said:

Hit 150 balls at the range, drenched from head to toe. What an awful summer for anything besides weenie deep in cool water. 

I just straight up stopped golfing the past few weeks as my days off coincided with the hottest weather. Hoping I get a quick 9 in later after work. What are your guys thoughts, we really going to get back in to the mid 90s by next week? 

3 minutes ago, wxeyeNH said:

What is Logan's highest temp so far this summer?

I believe it's 98 recorded on 7/3/2018. 

98.6 reading at KBOS right now. Closing in. 

97/73. for a HI of 107 up here in the Merrimack Valley. Down right gross feeling out there.  It seems like the 100 is in play but I have a hard time seeing it consider the previous air masses in July/early August all capped out right around here. 

92/74 for a HI of 102 at noon.Absolutely hate it.  Find me in the cool basement playing guitar drinking Treehouse brews until Thursday.