Jump to content

KoalaBeer

Members
 View Profile  See their activity

  • Posts

    623

  • Joined

  • Last visited

 Content Type 

Posts posted by KoalaBeer

    October 2019 Weather Discussion

    in New England

    Posted

    Quite the sever outbreak across OK AND TX ongoing...that Dallas cell :unsure: 

     Mesoscale Discussion 2091
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   0908 PM CDT Sun Oct 20 2019

   Areas affected...North Dallas Metropolitan Area

   Concerning...Tornado Watch 676...

   Valid 210208Z - 210245Z

   The severe weather threat for Tornado Watch 676 continues.

   SUMMARY...Tornado is currently ongoing across northern Dallas
   County. The environment is supportive of a strong tornado, with
   additional tornadoes possible downstream in the next hour or so.

   DISCUSSION...Recent radar signatures from KFWS reveal an intense
   supercell characterized by a 0.5 degree rotational velocity between
   60 and 65 kt. A tornadic debris signature has also been noted on
   recent radar scans. This signature is occurring in an environment
   characterized by STP between 3 and 4. Previous signatures within
   similar environments produced damage-estimated wind speeds from 120
   to 160 mph and a confidence is high for an intense tornado.

   ..Squitieri/Grams.. 10/21/2019

    Mid October 2019 Bombogensis Coastal

    in New England

    Posted

      
       Probability of Watch Issuance...5 percent

   SUMMARY...A marginal wind damage/tornado threat may develop across
   parts of southern New England this evening. The threat should remain
   below levels needed for watch issuance.

   DISCUSSION...Water vapor imagery shows an upper-level low over the
   lower Great Lakes region. A plume of mid-level moisture is located
   across northern New York and New England with a dry slot moving
   northeastward into the Northeast. Ahead of the dry slot, a broad
   area of rainfall is located from eastern New York into southern New
   England. At the surface, a rapidly deepening low is located just
   south of New York City. The RAP is analyzing a corridor of
   instability from near New Jersey extending well offshore.
   Thunderstorms are developing on the northern edge of this
   instability to the south of Long Island. This convection is forecast
   to move north-northeastward across southern New England over the
   next few hours. The WSR-88D VWP show a strong shear profile with 0-6
   km shear near 60 kt and 0-1 km shear near 40 kt. In spite of the
   weak instability, the shear environment suggests that the stronger
   cells at the back edge of the rain shield may be able to rotate.
   These cells may become strong enough for a marginal wind damage and
   isolated tornado threat as they move across far southern New England
   this evening.

    84588930-AB83-4C0D-B37A-25EFCAA4BEA9.gif

    Mid October 2019 Bombogensis Coastal

    in New England

    Posted

    8 minutes ago, The 4 Seasons said:

    26 pages deep, if this were mid winter almost no one would give a hoot. I think we (most of us) are bored and waiting for winter, i know i am.

    To be fair a 975mb low doesn’t cut inland across the state often in winter either. Lack of mixing is inhibiting this from being a more significant event. 

    Mid October 2019 Bombogensis Coastal

    in New England

    Posted

    FWIW BOX is going with 35-50 kt gusts on the coastal plain right now. I don't think that's an unreasonable forecast.

    These never seem to work out here in NW Essex county however. I'll pretty much always take the under on these events for wind in these parts. October 29-30 2017 was an exception here though, LWM gusted to 51mph before it stopped reporting. I would guess we had a few 65/70 gusts that night. Surprisingly that event doesn't get talked abut much as it was an interesting setup. Those big pines were snapping all over that night.

     

    SfcMap_09Z_Oct302017.gif

    Oct30Wind.png

    MEthuenWindDamage.jpeg

    October 2019 Weather Discussion

    in New England

    Posted

    52 minutes ago, ineedsnow said:

    Got a wedding to go to at 3 today.  Hope its clears up a little bit 

    Was hoping the same thing to play some golf later but looking at GOES-East not sure it will happen. Winds still coming form the N/NE in pushing that moisture in off the ocean.

    Could be worse...parts of ND just got a foot of snow. Some reporter on the weather channel was just walking around in a deep snow drift and called it a "snow dune" because it reminded him of sand dunes. :facepalm:

    October 2019 Weather Discussion

    in New England

    Posted

    7 hours ago, Sn0waddict said:

    Yesterday afternoon they went from 75F, 5mph wind to 51F an hour later with 51 mph winds and gusts to 64... then down to 33F a couple hours after that. Man that would be cool to experience. 

    It definitely was an experience! I remember thinking New Englanders were full of crap with "If you don't like the weather, wait 5 minutes" you hear all the time haha. I'll admit though, I like the variability of our climate more overall. Nothing beats a bombed out nor'easter deformation band sitting over your head.

    Looks like DIA went from 82F to 19F in 18 hours for a temp change of 63 degrees. That is sick. 

    The 2019-2020 Ski Season Thread

    in New England

    Posted

    3 hours ago, MarkO said:

    Haven't been there in a while, but I'll have to check it out this winter. Same with Tenney.

    I was up by Tenney today on the way home from the Whites and it reminded me I need to check it out this year as well! If I recall correctly there is no snowmaking since they re-opened? All natural which is pretty sweet. 

    The 2019-2020 Ski Season Thread

    in New England

    Posted

    On 10/5/2019 at 12:36 PM, MarkO said:

    That epic pass does sound epic, I'd certainly do it if I could, but because of my location, I usually go with the White Mountain super pass (WV, Cannon, BW and Cranmore) and even though I buy it in April, it still costs over $1000, ughh. On a positive note, if you get one and you've got kids under 13, you can get a kids season pass at WV if you rent skis (about $150) from Ken Jones in Manchester.

    I heard Killington will blow snow to open as soon as possible, but looking medium range, it's not looking possible for at least a couple weeks, but who knows?

    Ragged Mt is not nearly as big as places like Cannon or BW but still offers some great terrain. There trees are actually awesome and they get sneaky dumped on a lot. There season pass is only $349. I typically grab one even if I have another pass elsewhere. Not a bad drive from Lowell either, probably an hour forty-five minutes and it's pretty nice that your not on the highway the whole time IMO. 

    October 2019 Weather Discussion

    in New England

    Posted

    2 hours ago, powderfreak said:

    Multiple reports from staff and guests of frozen precip at the top of the Gondola (picnic tables)....sounds like snow grains or IP from the description.  Just the leading edge of precip so evap cooling processes are taking over for a minute before it saturates and goes to rain.

    Let it begin! Looks like A-Basin out in CO has turned the snow guns on and Killington was testing there guns yesterday. Looks cold enough to turn them on tomorrow night but doubt they do with the way the rest of the week looks. 

     

    10-2-19 2.jpg

    • Like 1
×
×
  • Create New...