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Henry's Weather

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  1. Yeah, the period of greatest ensemble utility isn't just a superstition. The closer to an event we get, the better and more reliable data we get, so we don't need to do these prognostic functional transformations to our numerical models because we have much less of a sampling error risk and spread to account for.
  2. I just want to take a moment to acknowledge the absurd rate potential for this storm. To illustrate this point broadly, I've attached a sounding from the 12z 3km NAM. The column isn't completely saturated, but the DGZ is ridiculously long and the lift is also broadly strong, as opposed to spikes which move erratically within the column. Sorry for the crop, this site has a very low capacity to handle uploads, frustratingly enough
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