Henry's Weather

Just looking at midlevels, it seems like if an eastern mesoscale low doesn't form, everyone west of the river just competely pounds. We can see that in the name, which would have been a completely crunching if not for a 6 hour periods of chasing convection. My question is, and maybe it's a dumb question: what about the upper air would suggest that the western low regains primacy after the eastern low has been favored? Especially when before the eastern low was favored in the first place, our LP was further west. It seems like an intra-run 6 hour hiccup, but all the models seem to show it to varying degrees. Why?

Yeah, what are these meta seeing that's increasing their confidence? Both BOX and Harvey and Bouchard

Yeah, I think the outcome of this will be an interesting case study

Wow that looks much better than surface projection

SVWX is an advantage lol

Well, it was at hour 15! Lol

NAM looks slightly more consolidated

Even with the furthest east solutions its over a foot IYBY and in mine. Hopefully the RAP is correct, so WOR can get a foot and we can get 2

FWIW, it closes off at H5 50 miles SE of Cape May. That'd be a classic solution I'd think

He seems solid. He never forecasted a foot in NYC and hasn't really wavered at all. Of course, I'm biased because I grew up on his stuff

Yeah, I believe it did

that's the nuttiest thing I've ever heard

Annoying how the recon the atlantic but not the northern plains where the kicker is

Send. SEND

Not worried about anything. This is locked in, at least for the coast. See y'all in the post-op pictures and videos thread. This is nuts and I plan on enjoying all of it

all around me... lol

I lived literally on Powder House blvd for those years. 2013 was bigger, we had about 28 inches or so as far as I recall. 2015 was longer but slightly less intense. maybe 22-23 inches final? The snow was also heavier in 2013. It was fun to shovel because the bottom 8 inches was total cement, the next 8 inches were normal, but not quite compactable snow, and the top foot or so was pure sand that whipped around like mad. 2015 was all sand, but that one was fun because heavy snows and winds coincided with sunlight. 2013 was a decidedly more mythological event, in part because it was my first 2 footer, but also because the hype surrounding it was unreal. A travel ban, and the snow slowly increased in intensity and fell sith more fervor as winds increaaed throughout the day. Beautiful storm 2013 was.

Wonder if Baker will issue a travel ban ... hope that isn't political enough for a ban

I am geographically challenged. SW

He lives SE of SNE, so he's cursed with weenie neuroticism. He can't help it

I wonder what accordion man is going to do

Also, we need that blog post... write your own version of the Walt Drag 2001 AFD

It's kind of like an out of-body experience to see it unfold before our eyes

This really seems like it just might be historic, frankly, if all works out towards western half of model guidance

NWS BOX mentioning possiblity for expansion into the 30-36 inch contours if solutions hold.