Jump to content

Wetbulbs88

Members
  • Posts

    1,425
  • Joined

  • Last visited

Everything posted by Wetbulbs88

  1. These are clown maps. You can cut them in half at least.
  2. What's his handle on Twitter? Or do you have a link?
  3. I'm glad everyone is still up on the DC area but I'm not sold that this is done trending south. Plus it's far from a jackpot here. Verbatim, I think this would be a 2-5" event here. You can cut the clown maps in half.
  4. This is why moving to New York was so jarring for me. It felt so easy for it to snow. Of course being in the city had its own downsides but overall it was way more net positive.
  5. Wow, that's interesting, and something I've been thinking about ever since that winter over ten years ago. Do you have a link to that study by chance?
  6. Interesting. I always thought that warming wasn’t uniform though. That Individual dynamics at play still dominate the surface. I guess at some point it has to matter, but if storms keep getting stronger couldn’t dynamics get stronger too? For example, I thought 2009-2010 could be attributed.
  7. That’s through more than the upcoming event correct?
  8. We’re less than 48 hours out. NAM time incoming.
  9. Yeah especially for the second wave at this pointYeah especially for the second wave at this point
  10. I don’t think this will resemble the final outcome.
  11. I’ve been thinking the same the whole time. I know it’s been brought up a thousand times but January 2011 is a good analog for that sort of dominance. A weaker wave passed and set up the bowling ball the following night.
  12. Has been for a while. I'll take that any day.
  13. Not for our area...Also think the Euro is much snowier overall.
  14. For my part I'm just dissecting. Overall very happy with this run. Massive improvement every run since 0z.
  15. That's true, but I don't think it's totally removed from that situation and even the model shows better lift to the north. I know I'm kind of contradicting myself there but I'm just going by experience. For example even if I lived in Ellicott City still I'd be much happier with that scenario verbatim.
  16. As mentioned in reply to a similar post, the temps wouldn't be the issue. We wouldn't get that QPF stack in that scenario. It was too light around our area and the GFS operational can't depict subsidence. Again, it was another massive improvement though so overall very happy with this run.
  17. The temps won't be the issue this time. We wouldn't get under the bands necessary to get to those levels. In reality it would be spotty and riddled with subsidence. But it's just one run of one model that improved toward better guidance so I don't want to act like I'm bummed about it or anything.
  18. The lack of juice is a little meh. Over that long a timeframe it won't get the job done around metro areas. But big improvement.
  19. Right??? He’s a salesperson. Not a met.
  20. How do people still take him seriously? Honestly I’m not bashing him but he is so irresponsibly early/bullish with his calls. Every. Single. Time. His record is appalling if you take him for his word 3-5 days out.
  21. Wait so the upcoming event is now back in this thread? Or all events proceeding that one?
  22. Oh I know I’m just kidding. I was pretty burned by the last storm, stuck between meso bands in subsidence. Being near the jackpot 72 hours out is not as good a feeling as one would think lol.
  23. You’re so generous. Only if you were behind the levers!
×
×
  • Create New...