Wetbulbs88
-
Posts
1,503 -
Joined
-
Last visited
Content Type
Profiles
Blogs
Forums
American Weather
Media Demo
Store
Gallery
Everything posted by Wetbulbs88
-
Amen. The last six inch storm within 24 hrs that I saw was 2018 in New York—on November 15th. It’s been strangely barren that’s for sure. Just happy something is happening.
-
This is a great writeup.
-
But the pros aren't convinced and neither is other guidance to this degree. I'm happy with five inches tomorrow night, whatever happens Thursday night, and then take our chances with whatever happens Saturday into next week.
-
That's being generous. I would say that his maps are drawn with the sort of fantasies I had in mind when drawing up dream scenarios in high school when bored.
-
This is super childish but I couldn't help it. Check out my comment to DT's post for some laughs: https://www.facebook.com/WxRisk Also shout out to WinterWxLvr for the meme hookup.
-
Lol don’t even start.
-
No I get it. But I’m not talking about my backyard. I still find it fascinating that this is so difficult for us given how much progress we’ve made. And this of course comes from my own ignorance regarding the backend of how these models function. edit also that our professional Mets can make such good calls given these divergences. CWG was fantastic for Sunday.
-
I’d be happy to lol. What’s his FB?
-
LOL
-
Tbh I think the models are significantly divergent. Maybe I’m wrong though. But to me the differences are utterly enormous given our timeframe. The mesos and globals are at serious odds with each other, and there are differences within THOSE groups too.
-
Damn 3.5 still pretty low for both events. Surprised because SREFs seemed to be doing better than that. Unless I’m reading this wrong?
-
Honestly mix is cool with me. Just hate when we go to rain, especially if it ends as rain.
-
I would literally eat vegan for a whole day for a 6+ event.
-
I’m shocked at some of the pessimism right now. We should be doing cartwheels right now. This was pretty much the best adjustment we could’ve gotten save for the warm nose with the first wave. One more tick back north for wave II and it’s game on. Considering how bad the models have been this is nowhere near over.
-
Damn is it still rolling out?
-
Wait what did the euro show for the second wave...? Haven’t seen anything yet.
-
Looks a tab better for Baltimore but pretty insignificant anyway. Hopefully good for a couple of warmup inches.
-
5-10 plus into DC? Not quite there yet for my thinking, but I'd be MORE than happy with this outcome.
-
Yes and they seem to be much more bullish than we are tbh. It's a guiding light for sure.
-
Yeah I realized, thanks though.
-
The GFS just grimaced at the table and flipped it over. Honestly wtf is going on.
-
I'll take it, better than 0 lol.
-
Could be with the first wave at least included? But yeah definitely a good sign. Their disco guidance has seemed impervious to the south trends.
-
Agreed, which is interesting for its range but whatever. I'm not quite as optimistic as you but I'm not close to the ledge here. Think there are plenty of ways we can win here still. Most of them have to do with the modeling just being straight trash this year. In fact sometimes I wonder if it's only gotten worse recently, or if I've just become more critical in my curmudgeonly early 30s.
-
Really wish the RGEM was rolled out on TT. Anyway, I'm feeling more optimistic, not just because of slight northern ticks in recent modeling, but also because wave one is just looking better. If we could just get something here I'll be happy.
