Wetbulbs88
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Everything posted by Wetbulbs88
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Feb Long Range Discussion (Day 3 and beyond) - MERGED
Wetbulbs88 replied to WinterWxLuvr's topic in Mid Atlantic
I can’t believe I live in DC now. Like it just hit me over this past week. This is just...rough man. -
This jackpot occurring in my hometown of EC is really killing me...Still just rain here. Every time we got some sleet mixing I got my hopes up. At this point I know it's hopeless. That line ain't moving.
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Ugh, my hometown always came through in the clutch....
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To get him from college? And damn are you driving back to night or hanging it up there for the night? Be careful!
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Yeah I'm seriously starting to realize how ungrateful I was while in NYC. This is just...Wow. I grew up in Ellicott City and didn't viscerally understand how bad it was just 20 miles south until experiencing it for myself.
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Nope. Even worse. Just rain.
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Where are you? Your tag says Union Bridge. Should be snowing there right?
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Wow 32.5? I doubt I'm there and I'm in Chevy Chase...Just a terrible cold rain here, not even sleeting anymore.
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Welp all of my optimism just got crushed. We had heavy sleet and everyone was reporting a flip to snow up north...so I go to check again and we're back to light rain. Just getting destroyed with bad luck.
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Yeah the models were a little too warm and the mets saw it. They had 850s and 540s racing north until precip hit but were a little too aggressive with the warm nose before it started retreating. Think we're only getting colder from here.
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Very heavy rain/sleet mix. Hopefully we can at least flip to all frozen at some point. Then we'll go from there. But it seems like the snow line is reaallly far north right now.
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It's raining here so it is what it is
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Good to hear. You're about ten or fifteen miles north of me so hopefully I can get there in a bit too.
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I've said it a million times I'll say it again. The NAM is not a bad model.
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Interesting, you should be warmer than me but it's just rain here...at least I think it is, I'm watching TV until I see some positive column action. Hoping the pros turn out right on this one.
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Nah it's just rain. Even a lot of the people with snow are above freezing.
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Haha fair enough. Just got back inside from a walk and it started raining. So the people who were on the ledge for getting fringed can at least come back inside.Just got back inside from a walk and it started raining. So the people who were on the ledge for getting fringed can at least come back inside.
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Shrug. I guess there’s no point being on here then.
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So angry, so absolute, so certain. Meanwhile sleet and freezing rain are right on our doorstep, with wet bulbs crashing south. And I’m not paying attention?
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DC south people are on the ledge. Someone throw up a clown map to save them.
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Huh? We're about to get nailed...Are you looking at the radar?
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Let’s goooooo
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As someone who has bashed the models this is true. In the spring we’d ignore a burst of showers along a frontal boundary. But we all know not to take those forecasts too seriously. Add in some p type issues and it’s not an easy forecast. I still think it’s incredible that modeling is still so unreliable. But it goes to show how good the pros are. They held firm to an advisory event here and warning snows up north. And they don’t look too dumb right now.
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I'd be more than happy with this solution.
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Heaviest snow I've seen all year in Chevy Chase. Overperforming so far. About a half inch or inch on the grass.
