Wetbulbs88

That would require cold skies. The air aloft is much warmer. The only reason we're frozen still is because of the CAD (cold air damming).

I rescind my comments about this being a bust. But in my defense I've never experienced a sleet storm that can actually accumulate with any semblance of significance. This is wild. Hoping we can keep the ZR at bay!

Very apt. This is exactly what it's like.

This is by far the best sleetstorm I've ever experienced. Way better than 2017 NYC, and not just because that was a busted mega-HECS. The rates are almost better than the snow from this morning. Absolutely dumping.

Flipped to sleet about 20 minutes ago. Let's see how far 3:1 can get us!

I grew up in EC. Really miss that place for snow. Excellent location on that little hill.

Nailed it! Thanks.

I'm sure I'm missing something but I don't see that. Here's what I'm using. https://weather.cod.edu/satrad/nexrad/index.php?parms=LWX-N0C-1-24-100-usa-rad

Can you share that DOX link?

It's always off with QPF. That's one of its main weaknesses.

Yeah been saying this all morning. The growth is awful. But it's still snow for now!

Are you referring to the pinger radar? If that's the case then wouldn't you need to have stations every five miles to get an accurate dpiction?

Most focus on its QPF exaggerations. But the NAM has always had its benefits and I've always stood by its usefulness.

Yes the growth is awful. We're not going to get near forecast totals. At least it's beautiful out, and we're not going to flip to rain (famous last words).

I'm choosing to believe the sleet line has collapsed under the sheer power of this arctic CAD.

I had my two spliffs last night so I would sleep early.

That just came through here. Better rates incoming.

Rates are very good but the growth and ratios aren't great. Not knowledgeable enough to know exactly why but maybe midlayer temps. Could still be 1" an hour though.

TT not loading it for me what's the lol?

Absolutely beautiful out there. So bummed we're close to flipping but it's been very enjoyable.

Literally about to post this. It didn't fall south it's like it collapsed completely. Wonder if it's just not picking it up?

Wow it's so cold the radar's blue all the way down to North Carolina. You can only see it on the pinger. https://weather.cod.edu/satrad/nexrad/index.php?parms=LWX-N0C-1-24-100-usa-rad

Are they alone while you’re away?

This is pedantic and disingenuous. If all you care about is the deterministic reality of the actual weather then you don’t need to track the weather. Yet here you are. Our reality is what we can predict. It’s disingenuous to pretend we aren’t hoping for or reacting to what the current modeling and forecasting suggests. While some pros may have suggested to be wary, no one knew we would end up here. Given this uncertainty, it’s perfectly fine to be disappointed. It’s also what makes this hobby fun. If it weren’t, then we wouldn’t care when things go our way. CWG just lowered their outlook to 4-7”, and short range modeling. Just two or three days ago we were looking at multiples of this total. No one here can attest to knowing how this would end up. Being disappointed means I care. Nothing more and nothing less.

I don’t have any problem admitting that this is a huge bummer. There’s no law stating you have to be satisfied with a given result, and there’s no virtue in pretending this is what I wanted. We bled slowly from HECS to the best storm in years, only to now find ourselves with a veritable sleetbomb as the mesos slide into range. I don’t see why we would pretend that this is what we wanted. Hopefully we get ‘em next time. But this is a solid bust in my book. Nothing wrong with admitting that and still enjoying what we get.