PowderBeard
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Everything posted by PowderBeard
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Yea, bunch of ungratefuls.
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Got me too with the graphics. I was just looking back on the east trend that started around 18z and tried to figure out why the NHC moved it west and have not adjusted east. My more emotionally regulated thought was in uncertainty, if it is close to such a large population center, sit on it and get everyone prepared until more confidence in the alternative to avoid the mental whiplash/windshield wiper effect.
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Literally just had this convo with my wife. There is such a psychology piece to this. I would like to think it is about getting people prepared "just in case" but I'm sure it is all about clicks, likes, and views. If you're a little off and it is not as bad, whatever, the weathermen are always wrong. But if you're right, people remember and then you have a viewer/subscriber for life.
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Ha! If you can overlook the overdone mb the 3KM is actually modeling Henri's winds quite well comparing it to the live data.
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Mission 10 showing 30sec average of 78 knots.
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If you read the tweet thread she later clarifies the 1,000,000 number is regionally and includes Mass and NH.
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Yup, forget snapped limbs. Lots of uprooted trees.
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Maybe my tin-foil hat is too tight but I wouldn't put it past them, given the spankings they received in the past year, to come out and say how they are expecting the worst-case scenario only to "exceed expectations" when they restore to most customers within a few days.
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Given the SST and better organization I'd be surprised if this wasn't a strong Cat 1 by this evening. GFS, HMON, and HWRF all similar in that regard as well. Getting away from IR as @WxWatcher007mentioned was helpful to see the organization.
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Looking at movement and temps probably another 12-14 hour window left to strengthen.
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Yup. Just saw the mission 9 data coming in, might have the winds this pass or the next. Thanks for sharing the link.
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Like going over the Everglades.
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Any good links?
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Little wobble east, GFS makes landfall over Narragansett Bay on 6z vs. New London area.
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Clearer center and getting its stuff together now. https://weather.cod.edu/satrad/?parms=meso-meso2-16-12-1-100-4&checked=map&colorbar=undefined
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I thought so but don't have any wrinkles in my brain devoted to weather.
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I'm wrong after looking at the other image. This site is clearer. https://weather.cod.edu/satrad/?parms=meso-meso2-14-12-0-100-2&checked=map&colorbar=undefined
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Henri's eye just popped on IR in the last few minutes.
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Having a damage fetish and owning a generator? That's on par with Tom Cruise being "The Last Samurai." What's next, a heated driveway?
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We didn't have cell for 7 days in RI after Irene. Hopefully things are better after 10 years.
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970mb with 76 knot winds through 36 on GFS. Strongest yet. 18z models are always weenies though. Edit: 76-82 knot winds on the eastern side.
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Was only a matter of time.
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Got to agree Wiz. CT should be raiding grocery stores. A chipmunk farts and 25% of Eversource customers are without power for 3-4 days.
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This is getting underplayed. And trees are full. What about sun angle while we are at it?
