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PowderBeard

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Everything posted by PowderBeard

  1. All the traffic that went through the Chernobyl area kicked up enough dust that radiation levels rose slightly.
  2. Those videos are wild, the fuel truck convoy one Saturday especially. Starting to see some targeting BUK and GRADs today.
  3. I wonder if they had anything to do with Medvedchuk's escape.
  4. I think lobbing anything, especially older weapons that are not guided with super high accuracy, into civilian areas is. Obviously, if it is similar to a Israel/Palestine situation and rockets are specifically put into hospitals and civilian areas, then it gets a lot more complex. Sorry to be so on the fence, it's the philosophy degree in me. Speaking of a notoriously inaccurate weapon firing into a civilian area. This morning it looks like lots of GRAD fire into Kharkov.
  5. Thanks, some wild footage in there. I saw the video of the person driving around explosions previously and was curious if it was cluster.
  6. Given the amount of pictures of abandoned vehicles not sure they have enough fuel to withdraw. Ukraine is getting a bunch of new tanks and vehicles! Also weather related, spring mud season is so bad the T-90s are getting stuck?
  7. I should have said "partially made up." You got me. You win.
  8. History tells us he alone doesn't have a red button. There are many people in the chain to launch them. Check out Vasily Arkhipov or Stanislav Petrov.
  9. Not at all worried about that. Putin is just going to his "safety blanket" and stoking fear like he did in 2014. Launching thermobarics into civilian areas are the biggest threat imo at the moment. The armor is an easy target since the lines are stretched. Russians need to crush the resistance to save the armor, and that resistance is currently made-up of thousands of citizens in Kyiv making molotovs, running around with newly distributed AKs, and now this morning there will be thousands of new Javelins and NLAWs inbound.
  10. Red dye on the Alexander II assassination site.
  11. Given Germany's 180* turn and tweets from an Intel Committee member last night it sounds like US/EU are aware of whatever he is planning. Hopefully they can calm it down in some way.
  12. There is a great line in the Chernobyl mini-series from Gorbachev that "the Soviet Union's power comes from the perception of our power," maybe we are seeing that and Russia relies on the fear of its nuclear technologies? This entire operation appears to have been a massive clusterf--- from the beginning. U.S. and EU intelligence knowing and sharing with the public the entire Russian playbook - so either some Russian higher ups are leaking or the communication lines are seriously compromised. Strategy wise, Russia has just been dropping Spetsnaz all over Ukraine unsupported and assuming they will get the job done. Now Kyiv is surrounded by hundreds of older tanks which don't exactly fare well in urban warfare. All Russia's superior technology seemingly absent, like the S-400 systems that were supposed to help them rule the sky within a few hours. And a lack of justification where you actually have most of the world, including the Taliban and Pornhub, in agreement on something. Putin is just so wild I wouldn't put it past him that this is a massive scheme to come back to the negotiating table a couple weeks later to make sure Ukraine, Finland, et al. don't join NATO. Or that he knows his time is almost up, has something health wise going on as multiple U.S. and EU politicians have hinted at, and is flailing to secure a legacy. Who knows, but Russia is looking quite weak and its citizens are going to seriously suffer when a loaf of bread costs 1,000,000 rubles.
  13. Yup, the IL-76s are vulnerable. At least 2 down already and seeing reports of some sort of paratrooper disaster around Odessa tonight.
  14. That was awesome. My other favorite were Ukrainian soldiers making fun of the old tanks the Russians were using after finding one abandoned.
  15. Yes, saw that earlier. Might start seeing their newer tech given how things are going thus far. Be curious when the T-14s come out.
  16. Seriously, can't be surgical when launching old Grads and Tornadoes. I assumed it would have been a lot more guided Iskanders but seems as though few have been fired. The Pentagon reported 160 missiles/rockets total in the first 48 hours, I think the opening of "Shock and Awe" had almost 3,000 in the first 48 hours. It looks like they decided to put all their older stuff to use, all the Mi-24, SU-24/5, T-72s. Makes sense but going to make for a lot more Russian casualties. I imagine they figured they didn't need to put out any of their new stuff, risk losing some, and providing NATO et al. with intel on its performance.
  17. And just like that the sleet line pushed through...
  18. Yea this is insane. Never seen flakes this big.
  19. Heaviest snow I've ever seen at this house. 3-4" per hour stuff, just pounding cotton balls.
  20. Absolutely ripping again. Might make a run at 10".
  21. Yea been mostly parachutes and feathers since about 6am. Looking at radar this morning the Brookfield area just east of me has been under 35-40 dbz most of the morning, wouldn't be surprised if they are close to or finish in the double digits.
  22. I was way off on eye-balling. Three spots in the driveway/lawn measured between 7-8". Still cranking.
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