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klw

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Everything posted by klw

  1. Just got the Snow Squall warning. Meanwhile upstream:
  2. I just put seed out for the birds, I was really surprised how much powder there was. I thought the sand base would have made up more of a prominent layer. BTV has a map out for tomorrow.
  3. 9.2 inches here, clearing the board showed clearly how we went from dense sand in the first half to fluff in the second.
  4. Snow has really picked up here in Burlington Vermont
  5. Interesting update from BTV discussion: https://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?site=BTV&issuedby=BTV&product=AFD&format=CI&version=1&glossary=1 .NEAR TERM /THROUGH SATURDAY/... As of 904 AM EST Friday...Interesting morning acrs our fa as widespread moderate to localized heavy snow continues acrs most of our cwa. Did get a report from NWS employee in Williston of some sleet mixing with the snow and sure enough radar shows 35 to 40 dbz pocket in this area, not sure why as soundings are -8C or colder at all levels. Maybe combination of unsaturated DGZ and weak instability btwn 15kft and 20kft. Watching water vapor is pretty neat this morning, as mid lvl dry slot is quickly pushing into central/northern NY ahead of potent 5-7h short wave trof over the central Great Lakes. Within this dry slot KBUF sounding is indicating some steepening lapse rates within the 700 to 500mb layer, which is closely tied within the favorable snow growth region. So anticipating as better dynamics arrive btwn 15z-21z today, a period of moderate snowfall with embedded heavy snowfall still looks very reasonable from a SLK to BTV to MVL line. Snowfall rates of 1 to 2 inches per hour with localized up to 3 inches is possible, given the convective potential per soundings. Just noted a cloud to ground lighting strike btwn Massena and Ottawa. Heaviest snowfall should arrive in the btwn area btwn 16z-18z, before shifting east. Expect very poor visibilities and hazardous driving conditions. The limiting factor to higher snowfall amounts wl be quick movement of system and moisture decreasing aft 21z. Did tweak snow ratios a bit this morning based on obs, which did make some minor adjustments to the snowfall. Still anticipating a widespread 6 to 12 inches. Snow ends by 00z this evening acrs most of the fa.
  6. BTV morning discussion. https://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?site=BTV&issuedby=BTV&product=AFD&format=CI&version=1&glossary=1 NEAR TERM /THROUGH SATURDAY/... As of 904 AM EST Friday...Interesting morning acrs our fa as widespread moderate to localized heavy snow continues acrs most of our cwa. Did get a report from NWS employee in Williston of some sleet mixing with the snow and sure enough radar shows 35 to 40 dbz pocket in this area, not sure why as soundings are -8C or colder at all levels. Maybe combination of unsaturated DGZ and weak instability btwn 15kft and 20kft. Watching water vapor is pretty neat this morning, as mid lvl dry slot is quickly pushing into central/northern NY ahead of potent 5-7h short wave trof over the central Great Lakes. Within this dry slot KBUF sounding is indicating some steepening lapse rates within the 700 to 500mb layer, which is closely tied within the favorable snow growth region. So anticipating as better dynamics arrive btwn 15z-21z today, a period of moderate snowfall with embedded heavy snowfall still looks very reasonable from a SLK to BTV to MVL line. Snowfall rates of 1 to 2 inches per hour with localized up to 3 inches is possible, given the convective potential per soundings. Just noted a cloud to ground lighting strike btwn Massena and Ottawa. Heaviest snowfall should arrive in the btwn area btwn 16z-18z, before shifting east. Expect very poor visibilities and hazardous driving conditions. The limiting factor to higher snowfall amounts wl be quick movement of system and moisture decreasing aft 21z. Did tweak snow ratios a bit this morning based on obs, which did make some minor adjustments to the snowfall. Still anticipating a widespread 6 to 12 inches. Snow ends by 00z this evening acrs most of the fa.
  7. Judging by the very heavy traffic on 89 north and the large volume of LED lit cars, the VT ski resorts will be full of White Platers this weekend who left a day early to beat the storm tomorrow.
  8. I ran into this as well. Very harrowing, near whiteout. The lowest speed I saw was about 25. I was in the Prius which has no fog lights so it was very difficult to see where the lanes were at times. Lines of cars developed because the one in front couldn't see bumpkus. I passed a few and regretted it each time. The wind was not helping either.
  9. I am amazed how every storm how people seem to forget that models tend to have have runs where they trend south about 3 days before storm, trend north about 2 days before, then South about 18 hours later with a last tick north. It could all be in my head but it has seemed to happen every storm for a few years now. With this trend north this morning, we should see a bump south again in the 0Z or 6Z runs overnight.
  10. Temps were fun to watch on the drive up 89 this morning. 39 at the house. Jumped up as moved north. It fell from 54 to 37 in less than 4 miles near Montpelier. Bumped back up pretty quickly a few miles later.
  11. Eversource expects to have power restored to the remaining 400,000 customers who are in the dark from this tree fall no later than Monday. Glad both of you are okay.
  12. Hopefully you have an auto-dimming rear view mirror that, like mine, does not dim. It makes things all the more fun when you have someone with their LED high-beams on behind you for ten miles.
  13. 2.5 inches total yesterday/ overnight.
  14. About an inch here from the steady first part but it looks like the 2nd line is not holding together for here, more south. We'll see
  15. It looks bleak in the Ottawa River valley if that is accurate up there.
  16. Not February but the Grinch storm of 2007 wiped out my 23" pack in Bethlehem in a day. I think it was 12/23 give or take a day.
  17. KLEB (Lebanon NH) went from 54 at 6:22 to 33 at 7:53. Nice. https://www.wrh.noaa.gov/mesowest/timeseries.php?sid=KLEB&wfo=btv&num=72
  18. Just made the drive up 89 to Burlington (BTV). It was 41 as I left my house. 7 miles later I got on the highway in Sharon and it was 34 (where the 45 is shown). 20 miles up the highway it was 23 (where it shows the 52). It was pretty much 52 the whole rest of the way, only took 10 or 15 minutes longer than usual.
  19. Currently 55 in West Lebanon and 28 in Barre. 43 here
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