tunafish

great post.  nothing will ever change until people stop seeing the opposite of whatever political side they're on as the enemy.  The "system" is designed to keep that divide entrenched and people are generally too distracted/dumb to see it.  change will happen when people direct their struggle-fueled anger at the right places/people and make them very uncomfortable.  until then, they'll continue to spit in your face, smile, and tell you to deal.

2 hours ago, STILL N OF PIKE said:

You can simply have politicians and news agency’s report This large contributor to inflation , to raise awareness . People respond to the news cycle and often act how they think will be viewed favorably. I don’t know that corporate greed is in most people’s decision set if you asked them why they were paying so much more for some items . If it was ..anger toward corporates would be all over social media . 

When people are mad , they organize and protest , look at France right now . That either puts  tremendous political pressure on Corporates (who are trying to make as much money as they can , that’s not their fault) , it’s just that the media and regulators make it so damn easy because They do nothing / say nothing

people don’t even have *corporate greed* in their decision set as to why they are paying more for food and energy . They think it’s simply “supply and demand “ and they will waive their hand and bend over no matter what the prices get to.

52 minutes ago, CoastalWx said:

LOL. I think some were just posting a few weenies in fun. I don't think anybody was offended down here, or warranted your to-do list.    

all good, just trying to bring some laughs with the list.  

47/24

22 hours ago, Cold Miser said:

Some Cali Picks.

@Ginx snewx ... heavenly drifts.

 

 

 

hey, uhh, homeowner - you ever hear of a roof rake?

1 hour ago, gonegalt said:

The weenies are funny but what'd I do?

It was an agonizing year for snow lovers in SNE.  You posting a wintry scene is triggering for some, so they gave you weenies.

Your options going forward are:

1) Kowtow to the SNE-leaning board and avoid posting such pictures (ill-advised).  Don't expect the same in return when they inevitably cash-in.

2) Proudly post and boast your wintry glory.  You don't live in the mid-Atlantic for a reason.

3) Strike a balance of both.  Sympathize with their losses and unapologetically post your victories.

Regardless of which path you choose, embrace the weenies.  They are all in good fun.

58 minutes ago, CoastalWx said:

Seems like wagons north this weekend.

36 minutes ago, dendrite said:

We pray

Far enough for rains to (PWM) Maine?

Golfers loss is a skiers gain.

Ekster:

The next short wave trough traverses the Plains and Great Lakes
which then affects our forecast area starting Saturday. A good
deal of deterministic models and ensemble members pop a
secondary low to our south Saturday night which would tend to
lock the colder air in, except for perhaps southernmost zones
and some coastal zones. As such this could end up being a high
end advisory to lower end warning snow event with the heaviest
falling Saturday night. However, still have to protect a little
bit against warming, since aloft this is a southwest/south flow
event with really nothing to block warming up above except for
upward motion. With all this said, it`s only Tuesday and so much
can change between now and then so it`s not prudent to try to
get into details at this time.

There are also some indications that another storm could be in
the offing for Tue the 28th. Sorry to all the golfers up here
(myself included). Unfortunately we can`t control it.

Not skilled enough to tell you what's driving it, but 12Z Euro takes the primary low for this weekend over Chicago.  Perfect (for me at least)

Edit - looks like it does pop a secondary albeit later than previous runs, and would still be a rain > snow solution for me verbatim.  

I'm admittedly overly invested in this system for personal reasons and rooting for a rainy solution for Southern ME.  I wouldn't normally comment on models, but since it's just 7 of us plus 4 moose who care, i'm doing it.

4 minutes ago, dryslot said:

You got me by 12" or so on the last one, I would need 18" for 100.

No complaints from me, but I'm at 56" so the gradient is real.  I have a shot at average (67").

Any chance this track on this thing hugs and I get rain?

1 minute ago, PWMan said:

Especially when you have marginal surface temps and anything less than SN+ falling during daylight with a late March sun angle. During the last storm we had light/moderate snow for nearly 12 hours and barely accumulated 3" - and that was gone by the next afternoon.

Yeah, the rates weren't quite heavy enough to overcome the sun on that one.  GYX AFD was saying this will one on Saturday will be more efficient as most of the precip is falling overnight, fwiw.  

52 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said:

 

That'll leave a mark

Please god no

26 minutes ago, WinterWolf said:

Hmmm…interesting or just comical? 

29 minutes ago, dryslot said:

18z GFS is lol.

4 threats in the pipeline from 3/25-4/5.  One on 4/1 does a carbon copy of last Tuesday, loop de loop in the GOM.

53 minutes ago, George001 said:

No high to the north again, I’m not falling for this one. Rain for everyone outside elevation and way north if we get a storm. Lets get modeled temps in the low 20s and high teens and then I’ll start getting excited for eastern mass snow potential (so, not until 2024).

I am not good at interpreting models but I see both Euro and GFS popping a secondary low over the cape or east of BOS Saturday night, so high or no high and regardless of end result, there's some agreement there

28 minutes ago, dryslot said:

That's good, Don't care about down here at this point, But foothills and mountains different story.

agreed.  I do not want / need any frozen precip for the rest of this season.

10 hours ago, DavisStraight said:

I know turkeys eat ticks and we used to have a flock in our yard every night for a few years, last year they stopped showing up so maybe they found better grounds.

In my experience, chickens and even Guinea hens are opportunists, so unless they see a tick right in front of them they're not seeking them out specifically.   Path of least resistance food is their preferred method.  My in laws in NH have Guinea hens and I still pull ticks off me on their property.  As long as there are hosts (mice, other rodent) there will be ticks.

11 hours ago, powderfreak said:

No, the plot is about 700ft lower and to the north. The COOP stake is off the upper Toll Road. The High Road plot is over off the Gondola top. It’s generally more sheltered.  They both though are in the zone that gets buried.  There’s a whole upper East side bowl almost that stretches like 1+ mile across the top 1,000-1,500ft that just gets crushed to me.

I’m seeing Smuggs reporting 34”, Bolton 32”, Max River Glen 32”… I don’t know how they measured or if they did, but I take pride in knowing we do Mansfield right with consistent data points.

To be honest, the one thing I’ve always told people here is it isn’t even about the amount of snowfall in inches. It’s about measuring it in the same location all the time so you know what the value means. Like if the plot has 5”, people know how that skis around the mountain.  If it has 17”, it’s holy shit good.  But the trick to developing a meaningful snow value for skiing and riding is to be consistent with the location.  Not skiing around and taking numbers from wherever trail you thought was deepest.

The Summit stake is the same. Depths vary all over the place. But that is the same exact location all the time so we know what the value means.  To me that’s how you tell a story, it has to be consistent.

Our stakes are not comparable (obviously). 

My wife is hinting at wanting me to relinquish my NWS stake and associated duties after this season.  

You've articulated key points as to why it's important to have consistency over time, which I will now use to refute my wife's subtle attempts to crush my weenie obsession.

24 minutes ago, Lava Rock said:

why don't we ever get the big ones like places yesterday?

While (I think) it was a different synoptic setup than yesterday, and certainly the makeup of the snow was very different, we did "just" have a 30"+ storm 10 years ago.  These don't grow on trees, at least we're not as favored to have them as other locations (see yesterday) do.

Just now, jbenedet said:

wow. that's remarkably low for PWM. 

I'm closer to the coast than the Jetport, by about 3 miles - which doesn't help.   Had over an inch of liquid, too - speaking of abysmal ratios.

Even then, the PWM CoCoRAHS observers had essentially the same.

9 minutes ago, jbenedet said:

Lol this graphic which leaves out the Monads, Berks, and ORH hills. Missing a datapoint for Portland - 7" there?

"where most of us live" map. 

Lame. AF.

4.1", officially, here.

47 minutes ago, OceanStWx said:

4.8” on 0.91” liquid 

Probably puts me just above normal though.

Almost as bad as my 4.1" on 1.05"

And my can swap was pretty precise.

0.6"/0.15" new with the midnight obs in PWM.

3.9"/1.03" event total, 6" depth.

Just about the worst ratios I can recall for a non-sleet event.  Not shocked given proximity to the coast,  lack of elevation, lack of cold.

7 minutes ago, mreaves said:

I have one. My clearing practices have slacked a bit but I try to be somewhat consistent in what I do. 

Apologies, that wasn't directed at you.  Just saw an alarming amount of deck driveway measurements today - way more than I'd expect from this forum.

Clearing can be difficult to be consistent with unless you're home, I do get that. 

Man, for a board full of weenies I'm surprised to see all the shoddy measurement practices. 

Not expecting by-the-book necessarily, but would it kill some of you to throw out a piece of painted wood or even a cutting board? 

Measuring on decks and driveways?!  You're better than the general public, damnit!

2 minutes ago, OceanStWx said:

I think we’re going to need a pretty good post mortem on the season. We were lights out through January, but we’ve derailed to the point that I don’t think our stats are that great currently. 
 

Caveat that I haven’t run the numbers yet, but the false alarm has gotten away from us.

I've been keeping track of PWM, anecdotally.  Before today, forecasted amounts (last publishing prior to precip) were at 54 and change vs 52.1".  I don't have the exact numbers in front of me, but iiirc the biggest miss was only like 3".  

2 minutes ago, OceanStWx said:

4.3” at 8 pm. Let’s get another inch or two for some 

Don't have an anemometer but wind has picked up considerably in the last hour.

20 minutes ago, Lava Rock said:

Far and away from 8-12

Sent from my SM-G981U1 using Tapatalk
 

We were 6-8", which we could still reach.