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DownpourDave

Meteorologist
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Everything posted by DownpourDave

  1. My prediction for the euro is 6-12" area wide for our subform. Im going to bed see you all at 7 am.
  2. will you have a meltdown when the euro gives you 20 next run instead of 40?
  3. 2.13 inch bullseye for QPF. Assuming 12:1 ratios, that is still over 2 feet of snow.
  4. Still going at 159 hours. GFS is a mauling! Dead! Still going!
  5. Icon is amazing omg and that is 10:1 ratios. Verbatim Icon I believe would be 15:1.
  6. Icon is Iconic! Edit: this is based on precip maps. I have no idea if it is snow or not. Based off of SLP location, I would guess snow.
  7. Pretty much as good as a signal as you can get at this lead time.
  8. look what followed re 00z euro, 12z euro, 18z eps.
  9. Did the 18z euro that goes up to 90 hours give any clues. How does it compare to 12z euro at 96 hours. More Suppression in the NE? less? Shortwave out west more amplified or less?
  10. honestly would you even care after your 30 inch + snow storm on the same model.
  11. Hearing that the EPS are pretty epic. Pretty good look right here
  12. Total qpf for the euro. Pretty sure all of that is snow.
  13. ill sacrifice myself in hoping it will help the gfs-para pan out. The mid-atlantic subform really does deserve/need this @WxWatcher007
  14. For some people here is simply having snow on the ground enough? Like if you never got a big storm but were able to get a couple of 2-5 inch events and keep the snow cover, would that be good enough? Would you trade that for never being able to get a 20"+ snowstorm but getting those small events? I can tell you personally I would prefer getting the big storms and never just getting the couple of 2-5 inch events. Where I go to school in upstate New York I always get a few inches from lake effect since I'm on the edge of where lake effect snow happens but rarely if ever get a big storm from synoptic. The way it works from Jan-March there is perpetually most of the winter at least an inch of snow cover (6 inches at most) but that is not enough. I would rather miss those small events completely and be at home near the coastal plain having a chance at the 20+ inch synoptic snowstorm then the other way around.
  15. If this winter ends up a total fail I think there is an argument to be made that it is even worse than last winter. This winter we had sustained period of -NAO/AO. We did not have that last winter. Which makes this winter worse than last.
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