RDRY

Mix of rain, snow and sleet right now.

And now back to snow. Seems like sleet isn't part of the equation with this one in western MA.

13 minutes ago, RDRY said:

Flipped over to fat dendies.

And just like that .. it's raining. 

Flipped over to fat dendies.

2 minutes ago, STILL N OF PIKE said:

Where in the Berks are you 

Lenox

1 minute ago, ORH_wxman said:

You might actually temporarily pound some moderate/heavy snow this afternoon before it flips and then you'll prob get some snow from the IVT stuff tomorrow. It will be interesting to see how much dynamic cooling helps bring the snow line south. There's almost two pulses of that....first initially here this afternoon....then the lift seems to weaken and the snow line lifts back to near the NH/VT border....but then round 2 of good lift is later this evening and it tries to sag south again in eastern MA.

Yeah, I just checked the radar, which actually looks decent for a period of snow early today. The second round though looks like rain. Probably a couple inches from the IVT tomorrow.

Expecting mostly rain today here in the Berks, and rather heavy rain. This is fun.

18z GFS strikes again! 

2 minutes ago, HIPPYVALLEY said:

Probably be a decent gradient between the S Berks and N Berks. Didn’t look to see where he is though.  3-6” good bet. 

Lenox.

3 minutes ago, weathafella said:

I think I’d feel better than that if I lived in the Berks.

We can usually cash in on some upslope, but it looks minimal with this one. The following two storms sure do look interesting though. The ski resorts badly need some pack.

Looks like only 2-3 here in the Berks. Initial storm track is a bit too close for comfort, and keeps trending stronger, which seems to steal some punch from the trailing energy.

NAM looking better. That trailing energy really has some pop to it.

17 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said:

1/25-26 will be a good hit this run for SNE I think. That’s prob the first one that has a realistic chance of being good here. Beyond that looks more favorable but at least with 1/25, we have some better looking upper levels with the PV getting closer and trying to intrude into Quebec. 

The 0z Euro didn't even have a storm on the 23rd. Is the one on 12z the same weak system that precludes the inland runner on 0z?

Maybe the earlier, consolidated low on the 12z Euro stands a better chance of getting offshore? Because the 0z follow-up storm on the 25th was an inland-running disaster.

GFS not budging. Meh rainstorm. Even the follow-up wave is warmer.

Nostalgia storms -- the last refuge of the skunked.

If this doesn't work, just:

4 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said:

I have been hearing this is similar to a strong el nino pattern...which I get due to the overwhelming and mild Pacific jet, but its actually worse IMO....because at least in a super el nino, any modicum or cold that we get doesn't dump west and bleed east in modified fashion over a 10 day period.

A brush or possibly more for the coast, then a colder storm next week. Thinks just got ...  interestinger.

Operational runs be like "what pattern change?"

Another storm that shifts way west as it gets within a week. Persistence FTW.

Just caught a mosquito in my apartment. In January. 

The off-run GMS strikes again. Broad trough. No dice.

So the follow-up system now appears to be real. But without a decent high, even western NE will have issues.

5 minutes ago, Spanks45 said:

Knee jerk reactions almost never work out.. if we would have slowly waned our dependence on fossil fuels in an economical/reasonable way things could be different. But we always want to just pull the plug and hope for the best outcome regardless of what the consequences are. I try to focus on what is better for my children's future and even their children's future. My time left won't be that effected, but theirs will.

I see ulterior motives for this policy, which seems bluntly obvious with the anti-nuclear position.

What gets conveniently ignored by our media is the dramatic curbing of emissions in the U.S. since around 2007 from natural gas exploration (fracking). That's a success story that should be highlighted, but doesn't fit the alarmist narrative.