RDRY

1 hour ago, STILL N OF PIKE said:

There is a third problem 

For any changes to actually take hold and gain stream  they have to be profitable and wide spread 

The majority of the worlds population that contributes to Carbon emissions already has food and shelter needs that are not met . I.E if you are a parent of a child you will do anything in your power that helps your kids survival , if you could feed and shelter your child in exchange for  pressing a button that releases a huge plume of co2 you would do it (if you are living in poverty) the alternatives to fossil fuels are more expensive and business sure won’t try to lower their profit margins for the “environment” . So with this being the case nobody in poverty living day to day and month to month has CC as a issue on their radar , especially when the fixes are more expensive and lower their ability to take care of their loved ones . This also goes for many poorer folks in G7 countries where their wealthier citizens have the privilege to “help” . If the current alternatives were forced on the world , I wonder if folks who have the privilege to do their part realize the poor (majority of globes population ) would have growing mortality rates from inflation and lack of ability to get around .

Any transition and alternatives would need to be subsidized by governments and the alternatives lower priced for widespread adoption . That is not even getting into wether the major contributors to emissions , one being the military industrial complex would ever take the risks of alternative powered vehicles when lives are on the line . Not that change isn’t needed but it would be messy and  cost a ton of lives on net (of people in poverty) which Is sort of not mentioned bc it would lower higher socioeconomic G7 folks (who are caring ) support 

It's another form of third-world exploitation. Super-wealthy elite who produce more CO2 than entire developing-country cities lecture about and mandate alternative-energy policies that are inferior and far more restrictive than fossil fuels. While completely ignoring the massive -- and increasing -- emissions from China.

Things just got interestinger.

Mood flakes in the NYC. We take.

3 minutes ago, HIPPYVALLEY said:

N Adams is a top 10 New England snow hole. 

And more good news.

https://live959.com/most-dangerous-cities-western-massachusetts/

1 minute ago, Ginx snewx said:

 

Better for Berks for sure. And CT is back in the ballgame.

Winter Storm Watch definitely going to become WWA in the Berks. Yet another system that can't get its act together.

GFS at 240 

You liked that first snowstorm, here it is again.

Just an unfounded hunch. Euro pulls an old-school coup.

From 2000-2015, this system would just keep amping up on subsequent model runs. The past few years, the opposite. 

That northern SW dives in and kicks this thing out. Canadian had it too.

1 hour ago, Heisy said:

Just for fun. A last second shortwave dives out of Canada and builds HP behind it
Kaboom


.

I prefer my blizzards in the HRRR range.

What a wonderful Bermuda high at 162 on GFS. ‍

11 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said:

I like my spot for that....for the same reason that I sometimes get porked by those dry air corridors flowing down from Maine during CJ events.

Yeah. Closer to the high. Should still work okay in the Berks, but a changeover will arrive sooner.

Classic overrunning setup on GFS. High-ceiling event as modeled.

2 hours ago, WJX231 said:

I like extreme cold too. Something about how fresh the air feels when you breathe. I've experienced -10F twice in my life, once on 02/14/16 and again on 02/04/23. 

I don't. Extreme cold freaking hurts.

3 minutes ago, Snowcrazed71 said:

Did it even have the storm?

It has an indication of a thought of a strung-out mess of a storm.

3 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said:

GFS is gonna go big this run for 1/19-20

Almost a full capture.

Bowl trough never good.

41 minutes ago, Typhoon Tip said:

Yup ... What just saying the same thing to Seymour'  ...

I just can't help but think about the Boxing Day event in 2010.  That one was on fumes even mere 48 or 60 hours ahead and out of nowhere we were left to trust the NAM ( ETA?) ...which seemed to be the first to pick it back up.   But even then it was dubious because the NAM had ( and may still have) a NW bias over the western Atlantic as one of many in it's various idiotic charms.  Then the 06z Euro marched back... what?  and all the sudden, 12z runs start pouring in big event out of seemingly nowhere.

That was an event that had considerable presentation when in the deeper middle range but was lost for 2 or even 3 days...

My recollection was a GFS run that brought it back full force, which was then discarded for initialization errors.

11 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said:

I don't think much differently considering those archaic models were virtually locked on for nearly a week leading in. It was a such a strong signal.

What a crazy storm -- we're lucky to have witnessed it. A virtual max-out of our atmosphere.

I'd be fascinated to see how today's forecast models would handle the March Superstorm a week out.

2 hours ago, FXWX said:

First step to recovery is admitting you have problem... Good first step... Lol

If coveting severe weather is wrong, I don't wanna be right.

43 minutes ago, Heisy said:

Euro loves to give HECS when everyone is sleeping



.

That might taint eastern LI, so pass.

Only about 4-5 overnight in Lenox, but looks like a decent finish to push past half-foot.