MountainGeek

15 minutes ago, clskinsfan said:

Flurries here NW of Winchester. So the precip shield definitely made it further north than thought.

Patchy flurries here as well, some flakes making it all the way down with instant stickage 19/4

10 minutes ago, stormtracker said:

It's coming back at 0z.  Mark my words.

Hoping to measure between 49-50" - final call 

3 minutes ago, Scraff said:

Here’s my final forecast. That’s it. I’m not saying another damn thing about it until 0z. 
 

ETA—apologies to everyone not in the purple.  My crayon ran dry.

PSU fringed!

3 minutes ago, Grothar of Herndon said:

They must be using the new CVS model! 

Don't knock it -- I hear the CVS-Hi-Res nailed the temps in Augusta County this afternoon while the NAM was 10 degrees under actuals

Just now, Lowershoresadness said:

 The North American Mesoscale (NAM) weather model is generally accurate for weather forecasting, especially for thunderstorms, lake effect, and other convective processes

so this is going to be a winter thunderstorm right???

You had me at "generally accurate for weather forecasting" 

5 minutes ago, TSSN+ said:

We are so back! Till the other models come out… 

Right where we want it at this range - plenty of time to trend! 

Well at least we have the CVS-Hi-Res in our favor....

They sell drugs to go along with the model output. 

Light snow started about 15 mins ago

7 minutes ago, wtkidz said:

Just an fyi….. and it’s  44 and sunny low will be 29. 

Oh dear....better hope @mappy doesn't see this......

Just now, WxUSAF said:

Interesting LWX is not seeing the impact as greater than Thursday. 

They seem to be betting on more snow/sleet and less ice in the overall mix. 

1 minute ago, psuhoffman said:

Since when did we start trying to lock in details on progressive waves 150 hours out?  This is nuts. Some are acting like these storms are 24 hours out having an emotional reaction to every run.  Just because we had a few days with guidance spitting our crazy snow totals doesn’t chance how far out it is or make the guidance more accurate at those ranges. 

Ewe must bee knew hear....

Just now, mappy said:

This would have been funnier had you wrote knew instead 

Your write!

56 minutes ago, stormtracker said:

That's what I'm saying.  It's honestly just hard to figure with the 6z improved and we haven't even gotten anything from the 12z suite yet.  Even if the 12z shows disappointment, this is still outside of the scope of "lock".  I get that it's "disappointing" to see a run cut back 50% of totals.    But that's still fucking 8-12.   Like, what???

You must be new here.....

29 minutes ago, Kmlwx said:

And even if it *was* intensity - we aren't even in the higher shades! 

If you examine it more closely, it's actually saying that our temps are going to be the same as northern Alaska.....

9 years ago today! (standing in the middle of the road with a mailbox in the background).  

Need to send PSU out there to yell at it and convince it to move out.....

7 hours ago, Jebman said:

Bands are forming over south Texas. One is training over Buda with all snow now, light to moderate, 27/25, NE winds gusting to 27mph. About a half inch of snow, some sleet embedded earlier.

@Jebman - I don't even know where to begin - you are in freaking Texas!!! 

We're not talking a dusting here, folks. Oh no. You are going to get a "parade of plumes", a "bomb cyclone Tex-Mex fiesta" dropping white gold on cacti and tumbleweeds like it's trying to rewrite the state's weather legacy. Houston? Gone. Galveston? Forget it. Buda? It’s a snow and ice-encrusted snowy winter wonderland now.

Models were SCREAMING about this for days, but who believed it? It’s Texas! The land of brisket, 100-degree football games, and air conditioners melting asphalt. Yet here we are. You will be buried in widespread 2" and locally higher amounts!!! Texas meteorologists are blinking like deer in headlights.

DFW will shut down based on cold air alone. San Antonio is desperately trying to learn what the heck a snowplow is. Cars will be sliding around like penguins on Crisco. And you know the media will be losing its mind. "Historic Winter Blast!" “Arctic Apocalypse!” Jim Cantore might as well camp out on the Alamo steps at this point.

Stock up on popcorn and watch Texans attempt to drive in this mess. A shoutout to the heroes who’ve never seen snow but are still trying to shovel their driveways with BBQ spatulas. @Jebman - this is your time - your moment - you alone can TEACH THEM HOW TO SHOVEL!!!!

This cold will be dug in like a tick on a hound dog. Congrats Texas -- you’re the new Alberta for a week!! 

21 minutes ago, stormtracker said:

My cousin is under a Winter Storm Warning! For ice and snow.   In Tallahassee 

Over/under for whether your cousin does better than DC did yesterday? 

Finished just under 6" - trees heavily loaded with the initial batch of wet snow and then topped with powder -- gorgeous out there. 

Upgraded to quarters 

Just now, clskinsfan said:

First Snow+ I have seen in a long time. Ripping.

Yup just pouring dimes 32/32

4 minutes ago, Terpeast said:

Actually in the process of flipping rn. Wet snow mixing in. Dropped to 36

Dumping snow here, it's coming just hang in there....you can dooo it! 

Ripping, decent sized flakes - 32/32 - about 1" new snow on top of the existing snowpack