Paleocene

You would too if you had a one year old daughter who will be up and ready for action at 6AM regardless of what the models say! We run a tight ship around here. OK sorry for banter hope you all get plastered with snow

Deathbands are coming west, Prince William is gonna get 1.0" QPF too. Godspeed. I'm off to bed believing this high note. Nearly time to nowcast anyway. Sweet dreams weenies

Even the "dry" 3k drops close to 3" QPF on parts of central Jersey. 12k has those 4" totals again. Jeeby weebies.

kuchera doesn't look as pretty as this, but where do I sign lol? still a lot to come especially for the east.

we get annihilated. I shouldn't have debbed earlier. all hail king NAM

I am posting this for posterity because it is HILARIOUS NAM has ingested i-95 emissions and they create SNOW

it owned thermals a month ago, and was pretty dead on with respect to when I was supposed to flip to sleet for the snowcrete dump. Levels upstairs are all great, we need the coastal to crank and rates to drop temps at the surface. I am choosing to believe the NAM that if things can get going by 1pm, I'll be seeing white rain IMBY at least

am I going to believe this NAM 12k panel verbatim? yes

@SomeguyfromTakomaPark yeah, this is what prevents me from going all in. just don't see it, we have paths to fail. but its gonna snow so im happy

lol i wouldnt consider myself old and it borderline gives me a seizure

I like your positivity and I agree, it could go boom. Just haven't seen that enough on guidance (a 25-50 mile shift west) to believe. But, I did just read Millvilles post and he actually knows what he's talking about unlike me lol. Maybe I should have more confidence

Imo, speaking as your geographic neighbor, no. Basically none of the guidance has DC consistently booming or jackpotting in any way. 2-4" bar for success, 6"+ would be great. 8" or more? I'd be shocked

I'm gonna get 4" and Annapolis 8" just 30 miles east, book it

Good thing that model sucks

Yes, this is one of those times, at least during the day and early evening tomorrow. When those of us who live on the "hills" just above the fall line at 300ft or above can do slightly better than those nearby at lower elevation. You will probably beat me with your extra 100 feet lol. The march 2013 fail storm was like this.