snowmagnet

I’ve been keeping an eye on this one, because I feel like we have been lucky this year. And mostly because DT says no snow for the Mid Atlantic Sunday-Monday. Realistically, PSU and colder will get lucky, but I can hope for a fluke southern trend.  

2 minutes ago, Ji said:

Man…20 days away

20 days to catch up on sleep. Who knows. We might luck into another appetizer before that. 

25 minutes ago, Grothar of Herndon said:

Finally getting finer size snowflakes but rates still good.

I'm not liking these pixie dust flakes.  

11 minutes ago, BTRWx's Thanks Giving said:

Another wsw for D.C. perhaps?

I was just wondering when they were going to extend the WSW.  Places in Fairfax County are 4-5" by now. 

Just now, Maestrobjwa said:

Ain't gonna lie...don't like the idea of throwing away three weeks of prime climo. Waiting until mid Feb basically gives us one shot at getting a big one. (Prime climo starts to decline after PD). Hope we can sneak in something else before mid Feb...

What we have now is AWESOME--however, by itself it won't help us to get above average, I don't think. And that's the bar for this winter imo, given the uncertainty after this year.

Getting 2 over-performers this week is making me pretty optimistic for the rest of winter.  El Niño winters tend to be Jan to March, from what I've learned from the experts around here. The models are also not doing well in the long-range.  They will likely show something completely different next week. 

PSU has been telling us to look beyond Feb 10th.  

3 hours ago, AtlanticWx said:

HRRR has a lot of moco pushing 6" including the 2-3" that's already fallen! personally i haven't gotten a 6"+ event since 2019 so this would be awesome

We had well over 6 " in Jan 2022...

i didn’t expect so much on the ground by the time I got up. It’s a beautiful snow! It looks to be at least 2-3, but I haven’t measured yet. Light pixie dust for now. Fairfax/Herndon

7 minutes ago, jayyy said:

“way more”? So like… 2” more? DCPS literally closed the other day.

I am assuming it was more about the cold temperatures than the snow amounts, but I heard that they measured about 4" at National airport. I was shocked.  Historically DC schools often stay open when all the other systems close. I don't think they have buses so all the kids walk to school.  

6 minutes ago, pazzo83 said:

lol DCPS is the only district in the entire metro that hasn't called it - fuckin Mayor Bowser

Have you not been here long?  It takes way more than a couple of inches to close DC schools.  They are always the last to fall, if they do. 

12 minutes ago, Eskimo Joe said:

$20 says they hold with advisory. Only spot I could see a warning is the Mason-Dixon counties.

They will change to a warning when it’s almost over. I actually love it when they play catch up. 

16 minutes ago, TSSN+ said:

Euro says you win, they win, we all win! For Maryland that is. 

WV always wins. 

9 minutes ago, Amped said:

This setup is kind of similar to the January 2019 event. Hopefully the backend overperforms.

That would be amazing. 

3 minutes ago, Maestrobjwa said:

As someone with a milder version of OCD, looking at these maps...I have to wonder if he has it too, lol

He makes it known that he has ADHD. 

1 minute ago, Wxdavis5784 said:

So does the snow start at 1am or 1pm in Bristol, TN? 

Yeah. These are the weirdest maps! 

16 minutes ago, yoda said:

This snippet was in the AFD from LWX as well this morning 

There are indications of CSI banding moving from south to north
Friday morning, so areawide there could be brief reductions in
visibilities coupled with higher snowfall rates. Given cold
roads, travel could be slick/difficult Friday morning.

What is CSI banding?  Does that have to do with coastal influence? 

Just now, NorthArlington101 said:

Just need to keep that moving south please. Can we have 2 over-performers in a row?  That would really lift the mood around here. 

4 minutes ago, AlexD1990 said:

DT on FB talking about upping his numbers on his next snowfall map 

Just saw that. This is after he said it was a non-event for DC and VA 

CWG is paying attention. “Models ticking up a bit…update midday.”

29 minutes ago, stormtracker said:

I did

Kill this thread. Start over 

It seems like it may be time to close this thread and start a new one. 

Just now, Bob Chill said:

If you don't start a thread I will 

Didn’t you start the thread for the Jan ‘19th?  I believe that one was the Bob Chill storm.  You and Tracker both seem to have good luck. 

I have 4.25 in Fairfax County.  It’s beautiful! 

A friend from Nashville said they have 5".  I don't think that was really expected.  Hopefully that portends over performance here as well.  

41 minutes ago, arlwx12 said:

On school alerts:

I think the preliminary decisions for the lowlanders (Arlington/Alexandria/Falls Church/Fairfax) won't come until after 4 pm, and may start off as school delays rather than school closings. ((Have to save it up for Febrruary...))

PW and Loudoun may start off sooner, and may go straight to closings, as they have higher elevations.

Nah. Most will be closed tomorrow (except DC), with probably a delay on Wednesday.