GunBlade
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Everything posted by GunBlade
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We’ve cooled a lot with the precip moving in. Made it to 42 but currently at 36/33. Dropped 6 degrees in about 2 hours. Also still a lot of sleet mixing in.
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Plenty more coming your way.
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Outside of Roanoke impressive to see your intitial and final estimates lining up. Just shows how well in general this has been modeled. As long as the storm continues as advertised.
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Down to 38/33 from 42/33 a couple hours ago.
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19z HRRR
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Nothing posted shows that. Back it up with models if you’re going to make bold statements.
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Every single storm. When you’re SE of 85 by less than 10 miles and around 1 mile from 485 every little thing has huge implications. If the HRRR is right at least we can hopefully stick to mostly snow and sleet. I’ll take that in early December.
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850 down to NC/SC border and 925 at Meck Union border.
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Big wet snowflakes mixing in now around Matthews area at Union Meck border.
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18z HRRR still bringing the goods. LOTS of mixing but holding strong with colder air out to 21.
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17z HRRR holding on to keeping rain much further south.
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Because the big cool down won’t start until later. Take a look at noaa stations and watch the winds. The models with more snow etc...show a big increase in winds in a short tone later tonight pushing down the cool dry air. It’s going to be a long slow fall to temps and we are right on the border if all goes as planned. Don’t worry. Yet at least
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Agreed, not taking them face value and using lots of other thought they can be helpful. Most don’t. I’m probably also more biased based on climatology where I’m at since it’s so hard for any model to nail down this area.
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Time and time again the Globals fail this close to the storm. It’s fruitless trying to forecast with those now unless you want to prove a point that’s likely to not come to fruition...
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Snow rain sleet mix here a few miles south of charlotte.
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Sleeting just south of Charlotte.
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Yea we all know what an ULL can do so the fact that the heart of the storm is generating those totals is a good sign
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Matthews NOAA weather station always seems to go offline right around big storms No updates since 3:30 this morning... https://www.wrh.noaa.gov/mesowest/timeseries.php?sid=F2338&num=72&banner=gmap&raw=0&w=325
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Nope. Only goes to 4 pm and there’s a dry slot over CLT but here’s 2 pm.
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Yea HRRR definitely impressive. Flips CLT over to a mix at 11 tonight and never flips it back. Keeps the line much further south. Big model battle going on.
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First animation has 850 temps.
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38/28 and can see the cool dry air to the north. Bring on the CAD!
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Beauty is in the eye of the beholder. Places like CLT and just south will be hoping the FV3 is right.
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I’m ok with about .10 freezing rain after snow. Awesome view when the sun rises with a little ice on the trees and coating the snow making everything glisten.
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Fixed for you
