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Newman

Meteorologist
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Posts posted by Newman

  1. 1 minute ago, LVblizzard said:

    Some backbuilding going on in eastern MD and SE PA. Wouldn’t be surprised to squeeze out an inch or two in the Lehigh Valley. Still raining here but that R/S line looks like it’s racing east.

    You can see the wave riding up north on radar well, I too think I can get a half inch to inch here

    https://weather.cod.edu/satrad/?parms=subregional-Mid_Atlantic-comp_radar-24-1-100-1&checked=map&colorbar=undefined

  2. 5 minutes ago, canderson said:

    That’s awesome - congrats! Know where you’re headed yet? 
     

    Also gust to 46 just now. 

    My top 3 schools are University of Alaska Fairbanks, Wyoming, and Utah. So places that get real snow and winter! lol

     

    Check out the loop here, you can see some sort of wave riding up along the front making it's way north. That's what the HRRR and NAM are showing as our changeover to snow.

    https://weather.cod.edu/satrad/?parms=subregional-Mid_Atlantic-comp_radar-24-1-100-1&checked=map&colorbar=undefined

    • Like 2
  3. 3 minutes ago, Bubbler86 said:

    Yea, I was not trying to be persnickety, sorry.     To me it looked like the front passed Harrisburg before 8AM.  I had initially said it looked like it was in NJ but then I did see the WPC map was an estimate so I yanked that misconception, sorry.   I do believe it takes a period of time from front passage for temps mixing down to the surface.  

    No you're all good, it was worth mentioning. I even pulled out my Atmospheric Dynamics notebook and textbook to read up again on fronts quickly and apply it to the current obs/situation.

     

    Temp is dropping here, albeit slowly. Now 42

    • Like 1
  4. Just now, Bubbler86 said:

    I was reading the surface ob's at Harrisburg as well.  The DP started dropping slight before 8 so that would indicate the front had passed to me.  But this is interesting as there is always a delay in temp drop from what I have seen.  HRRR has back building of precip well after the front, so I was not just counting on the precip.   HRRR has precip in MDT still at noon which is way past the front. 

    The 3k NAM also has that similar back building of precip into the area. Regarding the front thing... I checked a HBG wunderground site and the pressure was already rising there. So to be honest I'm confused too because there's mixed signals I'm getting. But also, it doesn't really matter because all we really care about is the snow haha

    image.thumb.gif.44c7bc9280d7495fcf3f06d60970b416.gif

    • Like 2
  5. 4 minutes ago, Bubbler86 said:

    SPC/WPC is insisting the front is entering NJ right now FWIW.    Wind direction here changed about 2 hours ago.  Not that it really matters but the delay in temp drop is interesting. 

    That's super interesting. I think those figures (from SPC and WPC) are just rough estimates though because we wouldn't be seeing the band of rainfall moving through if the front was already into New Jersey. Physically speaking from a basic meteorological standpoint, the precipitation is always associated along and AHEAD of the cold front where you get rising motion above the cooler air mass. So it's definitely not your fault, but the WPC map is deceiving because the front is definitely not into Jersey yet

  6. Winter Weather Advisory issued here

    PAZ054-055-060>062-240315-
    /O.NEW.KPHI.WW.Y.0020.221223T1409Z-221223T2300Z/
    /O.CON.KPHI.WC.Y.0003.221223T2000Z-221224T1800Z/
    Carbon-Monroe-Berks-Lehigh-Northampton-
    Including the cities of Jim Thorpe, Stroudsburg, Reading,
    Allentown, Bethlehem, and Easton
    909 AM EST Fri Dec 23 2022
    
    ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EST THIS
    EVENING...
    ...WIND CHILL ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 3 PM THIS AFTERNOON
    TO 1 PM EST SATURDAY...
    
    * WHAT...For the Winter Weather Advisory, a strong cold front
      moving west to east across the area this morning will bring rain
      showers changing to a quick burst of snow with rapidly dropping
      temperatures. Snow accumulation will be limited to a half inch
      up to an inch and a half but it will fall in a brief period
      leading to a quick drop in visibility and icy conditions. West
      winds will also gust up to 55 mph. For the Wind Chill Advisory,
      very cold wind chills expected. Wind chills as low as 25 below
      zero.
    
    * WHERE...Carbon, Monroe, Berks, Lehigh and Northampton.
    
    * WHEN...For the Winter Weather Advisory, until 6 PM EST this
      evening. For the Wind Chill Advisory, from 3 PM this afternoon
      to 1 PM EST Saturday.
    
    * IMPACTS...Plan on slippery road conditions. The hazardous
      conditions could impact portions of the morning and evening
      commute. Gusty winds could bring down tree branches and result
      in power outages. The cold wind chills could cause frostbite on
      exposed skin in as little as 30 minutes.
    
    * ADDITIONAL DETAILS...The snow will be brief but icy conditions
      may linger through at least this afternoon.
    
    • Like 1
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