Newman

14/5/2

The look for much of the latter half of this month has been the high geopotential heights across SE Canada and low heights across the SE. Stuck in the middle is weak flow and generally seasonable temps. Occasionally we'll get a disturbance to ride the ridge north of us and bring a glancing blow of showers and a brief cool down. That's what we can expect this Friday evening and Saturday as a disturbance and cold front moves through.

So, hopefully we get some showers this weekend

The current scene from the desert of Berks County, a browning and crunchy grass that has expanded across parts of the yard

Dry for the next week, near or at 90 on Thursday and Friday. Drought!

My at home station has recorded 0.0" of rain this month. Not sure how accurate that is, but KRDG only has 0.09" so it might be legit. Next week is high and dry too. Likely a shutout month

Made it to 33° in Fleetwood last night

Just finished up my undergrad meteorology degree at Millersville in PA. Will be moving to Laramie, WY come late July to settle in for grad school at UWYO. Excited to be apart of the Mountain West and to join y'all 

Also, we recorded about 7.5" of snow in Fleetwood this winter. Which somehow beat out three winters ago, 2019-2020, when we only got 7.1". Millersville only received 0.9" of snow this winter, absolutely destroying the old record of around 4.5". You almost can't believe to receive that little snow in a winter, but somehow we did. 

Expecting widespread frost and freeze to kill off some plants tonight. On another note, I'll be an official red tagged meteorologist in less than two weeks time 

The 12z HRRR takes NYC to 90 tomorrow 

April showers bring May flowers

but April droughts bring May _______??

What a beautiful week we have ahead. No rain, 70s and 80s, straight to summer

There is ample clearing behind the first wave of rain

Clearly need to see some other models coming on board. FV3 is still warm and north, as is the RGEM. That is, if you're looking for the insane amounts

The cutoff kinda reminds me of Jan 2015 on the Nam runs. Sharp gradient from Philly to Trenton to NYC

3k Nam is a Northern Jersey bomb

It would be pretty hilarious though if the Euro storm did happen verbatim and we ended up above average on snowfall for the season

1 hour ago, FPizz said:

Newman nailed winter by saying in early December that his worry is energy digging in the west and then cutting once ejecting.  Give that (New)man an award.

It was clear as day that would be the base state we'd be working with all winter, I wish I had been wrong!

Precip has picked back up and it's mostly all sleet, 42F

Sleet mixing in here too

13z HRRR

Canadian holds suit for end of week

The 0z NAMs got alot worse though, HRRR and some of the other mesos better

18z GFS stops the bleeding for now, has a front end thump for the late week storm