Scarlet Pimpernel

Sounds like Dante's Inferno for moderators...

Thank you, thank you, thank you! Everyone sees the occasional crazy snow map that gives us a foot or more and clings to that. Then it comes back to more reality for the given synoptic setup and there's a freak out. Nice to see and laugh about excessive amounts that get urped up now and then, but otherwise, come on folks! That said, sure it's disappointing to see things sort of "dry up" more. But this event (or events, 2 waves?) was never going to be an area-wide big time producer of snow. I had my mind kind of hoping for 3-5" or 3-6" on the more upper end; probably won't reach that where I am now, but even 2-4" is nice at this point. Given that barely a week ago this looked like ice to rain, I'd have to call a decent advisory-level snowfall a win. And it won't be like this past Sunday where it all melted 2 hours later (at least where I'm at...but looked pretty while it was snowing!). Fact is, tonight and tomorrow look wintry. That's mostly my take-away here.

Yeah, it's been really persistent about that for awhile now. I hope that's not necessarily correlated with the now notably higher QPF amounts (for first wave)...i.e., we can only get higher precip if we get the mix around this area.

More like a dry napkin...

That's just... There are no words!

First, you gave us Vienna sausage wieners in gelled Spaghettios...and now this! What next...wait, I don't think we want to know!

Looks to me like this should overall be a low-end warning or high end advisory event over the course of about 2 days. Not bad! And it will be cold. That's perhaps the biggest difference here from the long-duration event. Just think...not even a week ago we were discussing the potential of a serious ice event around the metro area (DC/Balt), and now we're looking at all snow. I think there still is the potential for significant ice (?), but farther south.

I think you're referring to the 2nd map @Deck Pic posted which I assume covers the entire event (the 1st one he posted only covered into late Thursday)...and comparing that to the total event Kuchera WB map that a couple of others put up here? I'm guessing it's a difference in methodology, 10:1 vs. Kuchera.

Kuchera vs. 10:1 ratio, perhaps?

So it would seem the 2nd wave is looking like the more significant one, or that seems to have been the trend.

I know! One should never, ever try to out-RavensRule you when it comes to risque humor and double entendres!!

In a weird way, it seems reminiscent of the Feb. 2007 storm (Valentine's Day), though I am pretty sure the evolution wasn't quite the same. I can't remember offhand how the 2007 event looked in its development. But what is kind of similar is the entrenched cold air despite a more northwest track like shown.

Dammit, Bob! It's like you're falling off the wagon here, giving in to those old addictions! Thank goodness!!!

Uhhhh, not sure anyone would necessarily want to do what @ravensrule would do!! LOL!!! But more seriously and weather-related...gotta love that essentially every model is now looking pretty good for Wed night-Thurs and Thurs night-Fri. Not too bad a place to be situated at this point.

Can you just wire the money via Western Union??

We never get fair warning. Hell, we barely get told to watch out before you're issued an advisory that you might be banned! Oh, and @H2O, Rolex watches are pretty good! Not that I own one. If I did, the cost would result in an over-draft warning from my bank!

Yeah, looks like a definite improvement over its past couple or so runs for the weekend. Not at the level of the weenie run from 12Z yesterday, but beats the rain storm it did have before.

Yeah, pretty much agree...though obviously not good to see it jump on being farther north now. Wasn't it a lot better just 12 hours ago with its 00Z run? Tells us how tricky this setup can be, I guess.

Mmmmm. Too impulsive you were! Clouded your mind was!

The whiplash and cognitive dissonance is almost amusing. "NO, don't start a thread, it will jinx it!!!"..."When the hell are they going to issue a watch?!"

We're one tick from being in the gray Wish some people were one tick from being five-posted!

You can go all-out Panic Room meltdown, it might even scare the Reaper if that's possible!!

I seem to recall hearing that for whatever reason, the ICON only shows rain/snow for precip type and doesn't depict freezing or sleet. Maybe that's what's happening here, where some of that "rain" is actually ice.

Yes, agree. I haven't been too "big" on any real snow for Thu-Fri, really, though of course it would be nice if we can be on that side of the boundary. However, models have been honking what could be a prolific ice event around here during that time for a little while. Not something you normally see so consistently like this. As for snow, seems our better chances for that would be after Thu-Fri, when there are some indications the Arctic air will be pressing more and we'll perhaps be into deeper cold. Though that's gone back and forth out at this range of course. GFS for next weekend would be the weeniest chance of all, LOL!