Scarlet Pimpernel

The worst of the worst of the worst! Sir! (a'la "MIB"). ETA: Or, for those who are familiar, there's always "The Wurst of P.D.Q. Bach" (with Peter Schickele)!!

I think thus far, the past several runs, the GFS has been indicating more of a very strong frontal passage here for Sunday, with the southern low remaining well south. Haven't seen the GEFS.

I think perhaps one of the best things about this snow event was @Bob Chill's return! Honestly, last Friday afternoon when he showed up, it's like the mood of this board lightened up. Almost celebratory. I'm sure part of that was due to it being a Friday and part of it because the models were looking pretty good around that time. But mostly, I think a lot of people were just happy to see him come back, sort of signaling that "it's on"! A certain amount of the sniping and negativity was lifted, at least for awhile. I also thought his subtle return was amusing, with his "Hey peeps...how much for Rockville?" comment in the storm thread! At any rate, thanks for that, Bob!

Some good snow rotating through here now (just south of 495/Connecticut Ave.), nice size flakes coming down. Most of today was sleet with light freezing drizzle, then some fine-grain snow toward mid-afternoon. Good crust of ice on top of yesterday's snow; it's really slick in places.

You saw that too (on Pivotal)? It did look a little odd, that level of discrepancy. I suppose it's whatever algorithm they use for generating that plot, but that's a big difference and I otherwise can't think why it would be so. But I suppose those details don't really matter...the Euro is the only one (I think?) that blows up the system later this weekend like that; CMC and GFS have a different evolution.

Looks like all major deterministic globals (GFS, CMC, Euro) have that storm around Wednesday of next week (Feb. 10), to varying degrees. They all originate from the same general area (around the Gulf, or near TX/LA). The big difference this time is that it doesn't look like we'll be relying upon some kind of lucky or complicated coastal transfer. Rather, a storm attacking very cold air that will be in place. Even the extreme solution of the Euro, which takes a bomb up through the Bay, the DC area looks like it's below freezing (changes to sleet or some kind of mix, but who cares about those details right now?). I haven't seen the ensembles yet, but I would wager they look quite interesting. ETA: My bad (sorry!), the bomb storm that goes up through the Bay on the Euro is later this weekend, not the thing next Wednesday. But everything else is right...all models show something middle of next week.

CMC similar to the GFS for the weekend with blasting a front through, but actually a little later it appears (more like Sunday night as opposed to earlier in the day). I'll have what the CMC is smokin' for next Wednesday (Feb. 10)!

Yes...just looking at that now, myself. It definitely looks very much like the event in Feb. 2015 with a couple hours squall followed by a literal blast of cold (2" snow at my place from that). That is a strikingly similar look, honestly, if it were to play out as shown.

Just be sure to avoid HRDPS-ies Simplex 2 when looking at that model!!

Thank you so much! And that picture you shared is awesome! Yes, as soul-crushing as this past year has been in many ways, getting out and realizing there is still beauty in the world helps. I've perhaps taken more photos in the last year than in any other year, to be honest. It's a hobby of mine to be sure, but with everything else going on now, it's also an escape where I look for things to photograph. Also has the added effect of helping me improve my technique and vision in that regard, too, LOL!

Uh, oh!! Channeling a combination of yours and @Bob Chill's expressions...it might be on like red horse schlong!!

Is this the system that the other day looked like a cutter followed by very cold? Or something else. I've only lightly followed anything outside today's event until now, really. But did notice potential interesting stuff around that time next weekend or so.

Right around 3" total to this point. As @WxUSAF said earlier, it's almost like sand! I posted a couple photos in the banter thread.

Regardless of how much snow anyone got, it was very pretty and quite peaceful. Here are a couple of photos I took today, all black-and-white (snow just somehow facilitates itself well to black/white!!)...

The maximum! Parallel to the surface! (ETA: ooops, originally wrote normal, instead of parallel, to the surface, LOL!)

Yeah, was just looking a that. Whatever it's worth, it shows ~2" in DC, with maybe 2-4" just north of there (MoCo/HoCo, etc.), and more heading toward the M/D line. This is a 24-h amount from 00Z tonight through 00Z tomorrow night.

It never is! But they gotta do what they gotta do, right?!

Seems your extra crew of hired guards was able to nab someone trying to jump early!

Hahaha...what timing on your part!!

Haha! @Bob Chill's kids would tower over me as well! My daughter is not even quite 5 feet tall and very slight (no real tall genes in our families, LOL!). Which is fine. She actually used to do ballet, for several years (Washington School of Ballet, associated with the Washington Ballet). But other obligations with school and other interests and such (plus an ankle injury at the time) kind of ended the ballet stuff a couple of years ago. She still got a hell of a lot out of it, and it was actually a lot of fun for her to participate in the company's Nutcracker a few times. A lot of work, but still fun! Last 12 months have been quite rough for sure, for everyone. But I try to be optimistic about how things will go and that we'll get out of this at some point not too overly long from now. The snow today is certainly like a balm! Especially compared to last year. I enjoy photography, sort of a hobby of mine...it's been awhile since I could get some nice snow-related photos around here!

Eyeballing maybe ~1.5" there about where I'm at (Chevy Chase, MD area). Light snow falling, clinging to everything right now with the calm wind. Very pretty! I will be going for a @Jebman Jebwalk soon, and get some photos!! By the way, nobody has mentioned much about the wind potential during this event, but looks like it could become pretty brisk?

Haha, I hear that. My daughter turned 17 in November and is a senior in HS this year, and I cannot believe how fast that time has gone! I swear it doesn't seem like that long ago that she was out in a snow suit during the Dec. 2009 storm, with snow up past her waist level! Not such a little kid anymore, hahaha! It's just too bad that with COVID, school has been remote this entire year so far (actually going back to March last school year). I am certainly not complaining about the remote stuff, as I totally get it...but it's just too bad this happens during one's senior year is all. But you make the best of things!

Don't forget to collect your 20% off coupon for next year!! New promo from the Reaper, I believe.

Interesting...GFS actually doesn't look too bad for Mon-Mon evening just going by the 3 plots you put up here.

LOL, well there goes that idea! I also saw your QPF amounts listed a short while ago (didn't see before I entered my comment)...not a good change there.