BooneWX

Today is sneaky. I think for those along and west of I-77, it’s worth not getting lulled to sleep and distracted by Monday’s headlines. 

18 minutes ago, kayman said:

I'll be prepped and ready to go to my basement on Monday if I need to. This looks like it will be one that will be developing on top of the Metro Charlotte area from the Hickory/Unifour portion southward towards Shelby in Cleveland County. It will accelerate eastward through the midday-afternoon hours.  This is could be bad for the Triangle, Greater Richmond, the Metro Washington area AKA the DMV, and Metro Baltimore.  Especially, if there are individual supercells form ahead of main squall line or the line potentially forms as line segments with embedded supercells. 

Situations setting up like this on Monday is why Metro Charlotte needs a NEXRAD Doppler radar site & its own NWS forecast office to provide better radar reflectivity below 5,000 feet in its region. This would also help the Winston-Salem & High Point side of the Piedmont Triad area as well with better lower-level radar reflectivity coverage.

Yep. The poor radar coverage a few years ago caused a tornado to go unwarned in Catawba County and multiple people died. 

All of the short range models are starting to slow that front down. Any more ticks west with time and even more folks in the Carolinas and Virginia are going to be under the gun.

26 minutes ago, wncsnow said:

For me its-

1/17- .25" surprise dusting

1/25- 2" of mostly sleet .25 ZR

1/31- 5" of wind blown powder

2/5- .5"

 

Season total- 7.25" and .25 ZR

 

Final Grade- B+

I can't give it an A here and quite frankly its more of a B or B- when comparing to the 30 year average but when comparing to the last 10 years it was a solid winter. We broke our non WSW criteria drought, had multiple events for the first time in years and quite a bit to track during that 4 week period. I can't give it an A because we still didn't get a true southern Miller A paste bomb and it was generally dry. 

You guys got shafted on that 1/31 storm but at least it still beat warning criteria for sure. 
 

This winter ranked high in the excitement category. I still can’t believe we had almost a full month of wall to wall tracking. I absolutely can’t remember the last time that happened.

Wrapping up this winter:
 

1/25 - 2.5” of mostly sleet 

1/31 - 7” of champagne powder 

2/5 - 1” of icing on the cake to freshen up my champagne powder 

Season total: 10.5”

Notable: Several cold periods with rare staying power. I went about 3 weeks with some sort of ice/snow coverage on the ground. 

Complaints? Few. Wish Christmas would’ve been cold but it felt like a winter of old. 
 

Final grade: A+ 

This winter reminded me so much of when I was a kid. Multiple storms, including one good slop fest, a true snow and sneak-up event that was minor. It’s hard to be mad at this past season. I really hope this is the start of a better long term pattern, and even if it’s not, it was good to see we’re capable of going above average in snow/sleet accumulation not entirely dependent on one event. 

Monday is looking interesting. We’re going to be in the warm sector of an incredibly dynamic storm system. Would not be shocked for the severe weather outlook to continue its uptick in the coming days. 

Hit 30 this morning with a surprisingly heavy frost for that temp. Next week may zap some of the early tree growth. 

3 hours ago, olafminesaw said:

Hmm...

Been a hell of a year for Virginia 

Hard to believe we had snowpack not too many weeks ago. If I didn’t know any better, I’d swear it’s June.

My only beef with March and April variability is that my sinuses can’t take the delayed, slow drag through pollen season. If it were warm this next week and into the extended range, we’d rip the bandaid off. 

It’s joked but actually pretty accurate in western NC that the opening day for trout is usually miserably cold. In fact, anecdotally, I can’t think of one time where I’ve been warm on that day. 

AIFS setting up spring fever followed by the bottom dropping out as the Canadian cold sink empties in mid March. 

Perfectly fine rolling into thunderstorm season. I spent too much time outside this past weekend to long for arctic cold anymore. 

Amazing amount of moisture upstream

What bourbon is everyone drinking tonight?

Could be an evening of containment breaking

42 minutes ago, Prismshine Productions said:

Yo Boone, been awhile! Maybe you should move up here one of these days to cash in on the goods. XD

Sent from my SM-S166V using Tapatalk
 

You guys don’t have sweet tea or Bojangles up there. It’s a non starter lol. Enjoy my friend! That low is starting to crank off of Hatteras - north west flow already ensuing a few miles to my west. 

This storm is going to be fun to watch even if we’re not involved. It’s been a hell of a year for the east coast. Not everyone has scored but collectively the best winter in a long time.

Good luck from this southerner! I know y’all have waited quite some time for an old fashioned blockbuster blizzard. Enjoy! 

Good luck from this southerner! I know y’all have waited quite some time for a blockbuster blizzard. Enjoy! 

Good luck from this southerner! I know y’all have waited quite some time for a blockbuster blizzard. Enjoy! 

Good luck everyone and enjoy. Looks like it’s really going to crank by this evening. 

I think March may have some tricks up its sleeve. I’m slowly getting reeled back in. PV is getting disrupted and a lot of the h5 maps aren’t too shabby at the tail end of the month/start of March.

This was a major win for the gfs. One of the most notable wins it’s had in as long as I can remember.