BooneWX

53 minutes ago, wncsnow said:

The rain has kind of split us. Getting a shower now though 

The story of fall. We could really use a good snow that sits for a few days and melts slowly into the ground. I know that’s asking a lot but let’s kill two birds with one stone for us weenies 

My goodness the NAM went from 1.5 inches imby for this weekend to .2 in one run….

Possibly a biggie hitting the east coast next week. While it won’t mean much for us outside of the mountains, hopefully this can lay down a nice snow pack for a wedge to feed off of down the not so distant road. 

Fire crackling and temperatures crashing 

On 11/25/2023 at 9:31 PM, calculus1 said:

Lots of fun watching this KSU v ISU game tonight on FOX. It’s just been dumping snow. Hope we get to experience something like that this year. It’s been a while.


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Been a season ticket holder at App State for a while and I really thought this would be the year we have another snow game but alas, we come up empty handed. 2014 vs Georgia State it dumped all game and we had about 6 inches on the ground. 

Someone wake me up when the PNA goes positive. 

Pattern still looks intriguing in the long range…I just hope it becomes medium range at some point. That seems to be a problem and theme for the last 2 winters. 

The pattern got me excited so I have to confess that I went back several pages and read our thread from the Dec 2018 storm….man what a time! Here’s to hoping we can reel in a good one (or a few) this winter. Other than early 2022, we’ve been really devoid of a blockbuster. 

Its structure continues to improve with every frame on radar. It almost looks like its wrapped modest convection around the east side of the llc now. 

Gonna be quite the Nor’easter. Think the snow line creeps west of 95? 

I was told this thing was in a perfect environment with absolutely zero inhibitors for gaining strength. Looks like scrambled eggs this morning. 

Radar is so degraded from that distance but it looks like we have twin mesovorticies rotating around the eye wall. 

The visible satellite just continues to look more and more symmetrical by the minute. COC still hugging 85W.

Looking upstream - If it stays on this path, I imagine coastal Georgia can anticipate significant impacts from surge. 

Outflow is really impressive in all quadrants. We’ve seen named storms with a much worse structure than this. 

2 minutes ago, cptcatz said:

Michael?

Thank you. That’s it. The forgotten 5. I recall Michael not earning much attention early on and then absolutely going nuclear in the last 24 hrs when the shear was in a more favorable orientation. 

1 minute ago, GaWx said:

Ian formed in the C Caribbean and became a H way down below the Caymans 2.5 days before SW FL landfall.

Yea not sure which storm I’m thinking of. The setup is giving me deja vu and not in a good way for some reason. 

Someone correct me if I’m wrong but is the synoptic setup eerily similar to Ian? If I remember correctly, we spent a day or two projecting a modest storm with Ian at best and then it became clear that it would tap into a jet streak and warm waters. 

Juicy atmosphere. May dynamics with August heat. Buckle up!

221 is shut down near Linville Falls due to a sink hole. I’m afraid it’s a sign of more issues to come. Y’all be safe. 

1 hour ago, Met1985 said:

This weekend has been absolutely perfect though. 

Can’t argue that! 

53 minutes ago, WinstonSalemArlington said:

Best June ever 

I’m in a steady state of complaining about the rain but also knowing we need it. I think the biggest bummer is that 90% of the weekends this whole year have sucked. It’s making me extra bitter, especially considering we couldn’t even drum up a dusting of snow this winter. 

the setup is different but the fetch of moisture, orientation and duration will be the same. This event reminds me a lot of the June 2019 flooding. We’ve been dry but it could be a long week here - I suspect even the models with 6-10 inches may be too conservative since they struggle with upslope enchantment. 
 

Summary: 

https://www.weather.gov/rnk/2019_06_07_10_Flood

1 hour ago, wncsnow said:

Models are shifting south fast.  Some give me very little already.  To much northwest flow around the upper low

Delayed but not denied! Don’t forget that rainfall here is only allowed on the days of Saturday and Sunday. She scoots back north just in time to make next weekend a washout. 

15 hours ago, wncsnow said:

Glad we got almost got half an inch the past 24 hours because this don't look promising

And somehow, even those few tenths will find a way to fall on the weekend.