BooneWX

10 minutes ago, weatherfide said:

I think I'm coming back to Americanwx for awhile. Southernwx is getting weird, all high on hopium and not really grasping reality.

The platform objectively sucks. I think the discussion is likely better since some of the greats of this forum moved over there but that user experience is like going from an iPhone 15 to a Motorola Razor 

1 hour ago, Met1985 said:

There looks to be potential in the prime of this pattern change.

Sent from my SM-G998U using Tapatalk
 

That was admittedly a fun run. One of those classic storms where if it’s coming down hard, it’s paste, if it’s not, it’s drizzle. 
 

The pattern change seems to be firm at this point but I do wish we could just see a better signal for an anchoring high over the top. That run had a moderately strong high over the high plains but that’s not typically going to cut it. Of course, too early to parse details about the threat at this point but at least the signal has been there for days. 

2 hours ago, digital snow said:

Hello SE forum peeps. I recently moved from NOVA and now live in Durham. Not too frequent a poster, I think my most liked posts were when I told CLKGriswald that nobody gives a shit what happens in Winchester and when I trolled DCTeacherman for preferring events with a front end thump to a dry slot. I was in the MA for 10 years or so and saw a couple decent storms, but it hasn't really happened there since 2018 and before that it was 2016. Yes, the snow drought is concerning climo wise and frustrating to say the least but I have a good feeling about the upcoming 4-5 weeks. Don't wanna come in talking shit, but gd north hills and Union county wx need to get a hold of themselves or get some real addictions. It is Feb 6th! Storms pop up here in a couple of days sometimes and this pattern gives us the best shot we have had in years. Nice to meet everyone!

First, welcome. 
 

second, you gon’ learn. 

2 hours ago, UnionCountyNCWX said:

I like how the main thread is very soon about to be saying the pattern in march is gonna be what was supposed to happen in 9-10 days...then push back to April...then May

Gotta hang in there. Only a few more weeks before we’re hearing about how awesome it is that we’re pushing that hot summer heat back! 

33 minutes ago, NorthHillsWx said:

I don’t even remember a CAD rainy day in the 30’s this entire winter 

Oh don’t worry, it’ll happen on a 5 day a week basis April-May

One day this group will get to rage again

42 minutes ago, NorthHillsWx said:

I feel like we now have Columbia’s climo here in central NC. 

You could go a step further really. According to Brad P, Charlotte’s recent climatology is now averaging closer to Birmingham’s climate historically speaking. 

Yep. Brad has been sounding the horn for some time now. He brings up an important point about teleconnections too. They matter less now that they used to, considering our climate is night and day different from the time we began studying their effects. 

31 minutes ago, Met1985 said:

You need to move to Aspen Colorado. 

All of us outside of the mountains need to fund a trip to Lake Tahoe or the Tug Hill Plateau next winter 

Man. This is rough to see because I respect Brad a ton. He’s throwing in the towel too.

Delay delay delay delay delay delay. 
 

it was the 10th, then the 12th, then the 14th, then the 15th, then the 17th, and now it’s almost the 20th. Someone wake me up when cold shows up within 300 hrs.

2 hours ago, Moonhowl said:

Seems over the past decade or more, this neck of the woods has three seasons: fall, winter, late winter followed by summer.  There will be a spring fever week in February then the teleconnections setup for a western ridge and east coast trough; cold winds start blowing in March and persist into the first week in May with a smattering of brief warmups.  Mountain valleys will continue to see snow flurries in April and into May for the higher elevations.  It will be interesting to see if El Nino disrupts what has become a typical "Spring" pattern.

Yep and it drives me nuts. I can totally understand how those down east or in Ga would want to avoid the heat, but locally, nothing is worse than 7pm+ sunsets with rain 5/7 days per week and needing to keep the sweats and jackets on the closet rack in May. Even worse, that pattern has been almost exclusive to NC, SC and southern VA the past few years.

18 minutes ago, NorthHillsWx said:

Love some 80’s without humidity 

Amen. We haven’t had a warm spring in a while. The days get longer and it sucks to piss it away indoors. 

1 hour ago, kvegas-wx said:

The pond dried up and the ducks flew away.  As long as we end up with an extended spring well into June/July that might partially ease the pain.  I do like me some 60s in June and 70s in July.

Hot take: but I’m going to say pass on that. Usually those 60s/70s aren’t dry days. I’m sick of cold wet patterns: march-June. Last Memorial Day weekend gave me 5 inches of rain and highs in the 40s. I hope we hit March 1st and it’s the torch to end all torches. Knock out the pollen phase quick and get outside to enjoy.

This winter is officially cooked

38 minutes ago, UnionCountyNCWX said:

Brad P when someone says how exciting the upcoming pattern looks on his FB page - "Not really." 

he’s probably seeing the same cutters we’re all seeing on the models. It’s been a great winter for the Tennessee Valley and weather has a memory. 

Phil says an early spring is coming! That fat rat is finally going to be right 

I’m at a 4 but moving on. I miss the days being longer, boating, fishing etc. I’ll get over it by March 1st and be ready for spring. If I get surprised before then, great. 

Anybody got any good deals for pre-emergent? 

Purchasing pre-emergent today. I may already be too late with the amount of weeds springing up. 

Trying to stay extra positive, but this has been my mood all week. I hate counting on a 2 week period to rescue winter. 

13 minutes ago, NorthHillsWx said:

If this upcoming ~2 weeks pattern doesn’t produce outside the mountains/foothills somewhere, I think there will be some serious questioning as to whether or not it can snow here anymore 

The foothills starving has been the most alarming thing for me. While I always root for the folks down east, it’s understandable how things tend to not work out that often just based on their physical location. Now the foothills are a different story. It should be working out more often than it has - absolutely gives me pause when climo regions need hail mary’s. 

1 hour ago, BornAgain13 said:

May just be noise... system for Monday showed decent snows for NC/SC at 0z. The icon did as well... the 0z GEFS bumped up some... probably just noise though.

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Things generally trended better last night with the cold air source. It’s not over yet!

I may be losing it, but I swear we’ve got white rain picking up here at the house 

7 minutes ago, wncsnow said:

Heavy rain. Didn't expect much 

Crazy how only snow gets affected by downsloping.