BooneWX

4 minutes ago, Northern Foothills Snowman said:

Could y’all share some of the snow to us in the foothill?

We can see it snowing on fisher peak and mountain in Va but nothing here. 

Radar returns around Surry look good. Hang in there! I’d think Fancy Gap to Doughton Park is getting smoked right now.

It’s not sticking but it is laying it down here in Caldwell County

Two snow showers the last 30 min

Well. At least I can say I saw snow twice this week

I know you guys are getting absolutely smoked because from the foothills it’s an absolute death wall of white towering into the atmosphere 

Radar looks juicy. Enjoy!

GSP disco says containment breaking will happen this afternoon. They even go as far as saying a dusting is possible in non-TN border counties 

15 hours ago, WinstonSalemArlington said:

Could this be the most depressed this Forum has ever been?

Yep! I always gauge it by the lack of traffic in the mid-long range disco and if I didn’t know any better, I’d think it’s mid July on this forum. 

14 hours ago, NorthHillsWx said:

This forum has become ungovernable 

Ice everywhere and several wrecks in Caldwell County. Rained in the mid 30s last night but almost everywhere in the county dipped into the upper 20s by sunrise. 

Feeling more confident that whatever falls here may be freezing rain or sleet. My temp is down to 36, DP of 19. Wet bulb of 30.6. 

10 minutes ago, greendave said:

Well - of 272 NFL games this year, there's a running average of 13.5 games that go to OT. So there's always that 5% of OT turning out in our favor....and look how much chaos ensues after the 2min warning. 

Sometimes you just need a Hail Mary!

5 minutes ago, GaWx said:

 At Raleigh, these four moderate or stronger El Niño winters had no measurable SN Dec and Jan but soon afterward the pattern abruptly changed between Feb 6 and Feb 14:

1913-14:

- After an even shorter and less intense cold snap in mid Jan than the current one, the 3.5 week long period Jan 15-Feb 7 averaged 6 AN, which included 5 highs between 66 and 73 Jan 28-Feb 4. Then suddenly they plunged to average 10 BN Feb 8-Mar 23 with freezes on 26 of 44 days and 4 significant winter storms, which included 17.2” of SN.

1918-9:

- 5 AN Jan 14-Feb 8 including 6 highs of 65-70 Jan 19-31

- 3.3” SN fell Feb 9

1923-4:

- After 3 days of highs of 66-68 Feb 3-5 and AN Jan 29-Feb 5th, Feb 6th-29th averaged 7 BN along with 2.4” of SN. Another 2.1” fell in March.

 

1951-2:

- 5 AN Dec 29-Feb 13 including 6 highs in 70s

- 5 BN Feb 14-Mar 18 with 4.7” SN

 

 

we don’t thank you enough for your contributions to the group

18 minutes ago, wncsnow said:

The ensembles scream that winter is basically done. 

I’m taking anything past 100 hrs with a grain of salt but IF this Pacific jet comes to fruition, we will burn weeks trying to break it down

Oh boy. That pacific jet could be raging. What’s the saying? What happens in December the winter will remember?

GSP says ratios for the mountains could be 20:1 . Good luck everyone! I say @Bucketheadgets another foot. 

I’m not going to sweat weeklies or any model run past 5 days. The models haven’t even been in the ballpark at 100 hrs this winter, so there’s no need to think about a forecast that’s 13+ days out. 

4 minutes ago, BIG FROSTY said:

I'm here too, just not as much as I use to be... 

hope you’re doing well Frosty! 

2 hours ago, mclean02 said:

Hurricane season is going to suck if we get a low shear environment.  

La Niña is gonna have guys like Josh Morgerman and Reed Timmer taking short trips this summer and fall

14 minutes ago, CAD_Wedge_NC said:

No, the ski industry needs to have cold weather to survive. Do not wish them misfortune because you want warmth..... that's kind-of selfish.

Oh don’t get me wrong. Definitely didn’t mean it like that. Luckily the mtns will continue to do well with flow and nighttime snowmaking. 

2 hours ago, wncsnow said:

I'm afraid this upcoming warm pattern is going to last into February. 

If it ain’t gonna snow, I’m good with temps that let me get outside. Until the PNA is firmly positive, let it be 80 every day.

21 minutes ago, eyewall said:

We need a major volcanic eruption or an asteroid strike at this point.

the first one smells like a pattern that leads to suppressed storm tracks 

This isn’t designed to be a pessimistic post but the reality is that outside of the mountains, we’re all going to have to dial back our expectations going forward and we should ignore the Mets who love to throw out lofty analog years every given winter.

The oceans are cooking right now. The Atlantic is breaking all-time records for warmth this time of year and a warm pacific has contributed to an absurdly bad pacific pattern for us not only now but for years. It was challenging to get snow decades ago and it’s a big ask now when our region is constantly torn between mild pacific patterns and a SER that just can’t help itself with the Caribbean temperatures 100 miles off our coastlines. 

4 minutes ago, wncsnow said:

9 here this morning 

Sheesh

27 and dropping like a rock here at the house