Jump to content

BooneWX

Members
  • Posts

    1,318
  • Joined

  • Last visited

Posts posted by BooneWX

  1. 6 minutes ago, StoneColdWeatherAustin said:

    Trying to understand here.  Does it require the low to turn north up the coast in order to create the negative tilt?  I noticed that this one is just shooting straight out to sea.

    Climbing the coast doesn’t create negative tilt, we just need the energy to dig a bit more and consolidate, which gives us a better chance at a negatively tilted storm. Right now it’s weak and strung out.  It’s shooting out to sea at the moment because it has no room to lift north because of the 50/50 low blocking it near Nova Scotia. The trend during 12z is to scoot that 50/50 low further east, letting the storm have more room to climb and high pressure feeding cold air down the spine of the apps. All positive steps but a slightly more amplified storm would help a bit. 

    • Like 1
  2. 30 minutes ago, Tyler Penland said:

    12z GFS is a couple NW trends away from something big. 

    Been steady light snow here all morning but stuck at 36 with no stickage. Was really hoping it would wait to get started tonight but short range models still look good overnight and first half of tomorrow.

    I think that’s where we’re headed in the end. I can’t remember which met on twitter mentioned this yesterday, but if that low near Maine doesn’t start trending further east, this is less likely to be a slider and more likely to be a coastal storm. 

    • Like 2
  3. 2 hours ago, strongwxnc said:

    0312b023aaa54e063cf0949466ce13b6.jpg
    Stole from the other site.
    Been a while since I’ve seen something like this.


    .

    I just need to bite the bullet and pay for the weather bell subscription. These ensemble graphs always remind me of what I’m missing out on. 

  4. 2 hours ago, BornAgain13 said:

    Allan Huffman talked about the threat on "X". He says the operational runs have more skill than the ensemble so don't discount the OPS even at this range, unfortunately. All of them other than the cmc are to suppressed and the CMC is to warm.

    Sent from my SM-N981U using Tapatalk
     

    Suppressed is good at 7 days 

    • Like 1
×
×
  • Create New...