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About WintersNotComing

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  • Four Letter Airport Code For Weather Obs (Such as KDCA)
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  • Location:
    Irmo, SC

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  1. WintersNotComing

    Mid to Long Term Discussion 2018

    The 576 Euro is the new 384 GFS. Its going to be a Thanksgiving to remember!
  2. WintersNotComing

    Hurricane Michael

    He doesn't deal with natural disasters nearly as well as Nikki Haley did. He either goes back and forth on the severity of the situation or he does what he's doing now and says nothing at all. Also, is it just me or does our NWS office not seem up to par with others in the region?
  3. WintersNotComing

    Hurricane Michael

    Can you show me an example of this disturbance? I'm having a hard time seeing it on models.
  4. WintersNotComing

    Hurricane Michael

    Euro looks more aligned with FV3. Strong wind gusts shown all the way into the Carolinas. Looks like impacts in the midlands could be worse than Florence.
  5. WintersNotComing

    Potential 1/17-1/18 threat

    I just got NAM'd! Could someone explain to me the difference between positive, neutral and negative tilt and how it would effect the forecast here?
  6. WintersNotComing

    Potential 1/17-1/18 threat

    I’ve been seeing it a lot more in the past year or so. I think one of the factors of it being cited so much for this system is that it was recently added onto tropicaltidbits. .
  7. WintersNotComing

    January 3-4 Storm Thread part II

    Would someone mind explaining SREF plumes to me? I’m assuming it’s some kind of ensemble model. For Columbia it’s showing a snowfall mean of 1.98 inches. How reputable is this model? .
  8. Is that NAM really reliable for a system like this? I’m just wondering because it seems to be spitting out a much better solution than the other models. I’ve seen people say the NAM isn’t a good model but I do remember back in January it was pretty spot on. Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk
  9. WintersNotComing

    October 2017 OBS

    Today was CAE's first below average day since October 1st. High of 71. Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk
  10. WintersNotComing

    2017 Mountains and Foothills Fall/Winter Thread

    I can't wait to spend the next few months dreaming of this at hour 384. In all seriousness though, does anyone from SC remember a few years ago when some of the midlands got their first snow on November 1st? These things are possible, but my understanding of the factors that led to that situation is very limited. Edit: http://www.dnr.sc.gov/climate/sco/Publications/1 NOV 2014 SNOW EVENT.pdf Here's a short write up of the event. I didn't realize I was talking about the midlands in the mountains and foothills thread but the upstate got some of this too so it's still relevant.
  11. WintersNotComing

    Hurricane Nate

    The storm is going to take whatever path it does no matter what we "logically" hope for. Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk
  12. WintersNotComing

    Hurricane Irma

    What's the best way to see what wind speeds will be on the ground? I think I saw somewhere that you look at the 850 wind chart and take off 10%. Is that correct? If so, it looks like this storm has a massive wind field even well into Georgia and the Carolinas.
  13. WintersNotComing

    Hurricane Irma

    Good luck. Your vacation is turning into storm chasing.
  14. WintersNotComing

    Hurricane Irma

    With the state of emergency declared and schools beginning to close down there, I would expect evacuations to begin Friday/Saturday if the storm stays on this course.
  15. WintersNotComing

    2017 General Tropical Discussion

    12z GFS shows another storm forming in the Gulf of Mexico, skimming Texas and Louisiana. Also continues to show what looks to be a major hurricane in the Atlantic hitting Bermuda. I know it can be a crapshoot this far out, but how likely is this scenario looking to play out? What factors influence the track of this potential hurricane?