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STILL N OF PIKE

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Everything posted by STILL N OF PIKE

  1. in my experience models seem to usually overdue the extremely meridinol solutions , as I’m usually focused on the east side where the energy dives south , i think I recall these more prevalent in the 5-8 day range and than they become less powerful or “southward diving” or as we get inside 5 days . I wish I could articulate this better Is there anything to look for that usually coincides with these actually becoming that meridonal, regardless of wether it tracks perfectly for us
  2. All media Hype/ twist for emotional response / attention = ratings So there is a flood of BS / and if you are not manipulating or twisting some headline to induce a added emotional response (and higher ratings) that is probably seen as lost potential revenue / clicks etc and add in on top of that the politicalization of the day creeping into everything I don’t think folks realize the layers of impact this has on ability and desire to critical think , reason , have a respectful convo and even figure out or trust what ..is goin on ha
  3. I think SW CT has been boned much worse than NE mass as a % of climo goes on a five year basis
  4. I’d swing by , drug you and throw you in the Corsica as i head NW into monads or to lake Winni.
  5. On Mt wash auto road temp profile . Coolest layer is 2500’ , and then it pops to 32.4 at 5300’ and then cools again at summit
  6. Snowing at wildcat . But 32F at 2k in late January
  7. WPC best 4” probs are still over Catskills , berks and N orh county and made a modest (20 mile or so shift north ) into S Monads as well As is the case with 95% of our systems last two winters , elevation and being away from coast is favored and ratios will be dicey to determine for CP
  8. Glad he kept his pants on so far Do models typically get a good handle on confluence by 72 hours , and is it now more about Perturbations in W coast ridging and SW strength that determines mid level track / temps or do we know exactly which is weighing more
  9. Def agree here, instead of focusing on periods that aren’t very forecastable, the period you mentioned has shown some potential as we get closer to it. After that ..maybe we can hit 70 around Feb 7 give or take , seems like the ceiling is there for a couple days of a very warm period , thou who knows how that will break and or if NE corner is immune to it . Not much more than a coin flips faith in mid February turning out better than average pattern but there is obviously cause for optimism , esp as long as model agreement doesn’t delay it
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