STILL N OF PIKE

Matters for Bahamas to NC but it seems the westerlies usually lead to adjustments east once it reaches 35N latitude , it’s rare for a system w out a classic Ohio trough to not tickle east (as for some reason models) seem poor with its angle of movement between 35-45 N latitude and always correct toward less of a NNE component and more toward NE /ENE (in my experience) maybe Mets can chime in on the chances for the east trough to align more favorable for a more poleward north motion above 35N as opposed to the opposite

Ok . I ask bc All it’s 0z ensembles that were west and hit FL were under 65 knots

As weak sauce?

Storm looks a bit crappier this am, intensity forecasts the next couple days are all over the place looks like it could struggle for 72 hours until it leaves the space coast S inflow should be chocked off decently now from the mountains to the S and SE of the center

Yup ,, that trough blows . Maybe it can shift a touch. Seen this movie many times .

where is Jimmy

When does the euro hit ....

Ukie

is this really not getting crippled by Land interaction w D.R . It’s weak, should see less organization today , especially as S inflow is choked off by D.R mountains if this does skirt N coast

Looks like Lowell May get tagged in a hr Not bad in Nashua , one cell is heading over w edge of town soon

Monson makes me think of kingpin (Munson) had to find that town, that cell is impressive and just steam rolling

Lol, I was lookin for my Tylenol pm

these storms are heading decently NE , I am not confident they get much inside 128 other than a scrape but we shall c

I would , i mean it’s not like they are supported by day time heating and there is no marine layer over you .

Ya ...That’s a beast .

currents can effect the most swimmers , especially if they aren’t aware of the local beaches nuisances . Was caught in one in-between sandbars in Florida (over my head ) and the current was calm in the middle (deeper spot ) between the large sand bars . When I tried to swim further out toward one sandbar the current pushed me back , swam toward the one closer to shore line ..was pushed back deeper . Fun times

Masks stop 20% of transmission. They help but they are not some panacea that sometimes it seems they are made to be . In mass I see most everyone wearing masks. I wear one . Different masks also have a bit more efficiency stopping transmission than others. Much more so then in NH where I live . Population density is the issue as well . You can easily catch the virus from hands to eye as well . Count down to the vaccine .

We should be able to say that a few more times with next model runs

Appears unfavorable sinking air for the next few systems , no

Looking at satellite , it appears to me to be forming on S side of (disturbance envelope ) between 12.5/13N compared to the earlier estimate of a General center near 14 N by NHC at 1 we shall c i wouldn’t be surprised if this wraps up in that area faster

impressive HI's to boot "Man heat" lol

Less impressive for Merrimack valley than other heat wave . Hot Yes but mehish GHG to TAN seemed highest H.I (from what I saw )

Nothing like a Tokyo Summer ...

I’ll go with “insight” lol

So, if it develops it will probably be slower and end up pushing short term forecast further west