STILL N OF PIKE

Gradual step down fall lite mixed in with overwhelmingly positive anomalies. Thank goodness averages fall a degree every 3 days

So far he’s been cool , calm and collected .

I mean it’s all up to where we live lol its much sunnier in Nashua today , still did some work outside mid afternoon and wasn’t bad here . I was in shade thou

I’m never satisfied with the winter anyway . I try to see Close to 150”annually between chasing 3-4 of the bigger storms and getting my 50-60” in Nashua

Yesterday was comfy cloudy and breezy Today , summer got a Epidural shot in the back and is Alive till evening with these sunny breaks . Still 82 and breezy is not that bad

Foliage should improve nicely by next weekend up north

6z gfs drops 2 feet at end of Run in NW Maine October is a winter month

To me it’s almost all about sweat . Low 60’s at nite are comfortable (run AC anyway) So it doesn’t matter if that’s plus 7 . If it’s mid 70’s w a breeze and cloudy comfy , couldn’t care if heights are 588. Consistently Comfortable for out door activities = back broken to me

As Mike Ventrice alluded to on Twitter (I believe the guy is one of the best regarding identifying background favorable/ unfavorable conditions for the tropics consistently w 2 week lead time ( the Suppressed state of the CCKW passes the eastern Atlantic this week and opens up a westerly trade duct , which also is conductive to enhanced TUTT activity , higher shear , sinking air . Poor Conditions I have seen models appear clueless a week or so ahead of the suppressed or Enhanced phases of significant CCKW passages and then Countless times they start seeing the conditions better and adjust modeled development “accordingly”As they are a little late to the game I’m picking up the CCKW state Development of Peter and Rose and now the latest Cape Verde “Red area of interest” should continue to see models adapt to generally unfavorable conditions

With Solid cloud cover , temps in mid 70’s and a breeze it’s almost always going to be feeling comfortable to me

Go heavy or go home (and learn to work safely around any aches / injuries ) . and eat healthy enough

Manopause ?

73 Comfy

Ya , I mean stocks probably keep on rising higher . Apparently Evergrande has been trading at 20 cents on the dollar for months in fixed income markets ..so no big surprise . I don’t know what the Options for terms of their debt restructuring are and wether a situation where they pay their domestic obligations 100% and give a haircut to foreign banks / Foreign funds would be enough to create more downside (or even make sense for them ) but baring that speculation ...things probably just keep pushing higher At a time when black rocks Rick Rider Says fixed income demand has never been higher in his 35 years of working (Helps keep rates low and appetite for high yield high ) and The fed and western central banks have created such Bloated amounts of liquidity they have created one of the most impressive backdrops for rising asset prices that has ever Been seen in financial markets . it’s been extremely difficult to conjure up a 5% backdrop

https://www.google.com/amp/s/www.cnbc.com/amp/2021/09/21/evergrande-debt-crisis-interest-payments-on-bondsimpact-on-investors.html 11% of ALL high yield bonds from Asia are Evergrande’s and they do not look to be paying on them ...I bet most major banks have significant exposure

It’s all good, no judgement

China likes starting sell offs . First Covid and now ..we’ll this I don’t have a great understanding of but ..looks like it can be contained This probably won’t cause contagion but if I was trying to become a super power , I would shake up the global hierarchy And stress test a US led global financial system that needs continuous fed intervention since 2009 and hope my currency would have a better “seat” after a financial reset that is a black swan away The western Central banks (closely tied to their governments ) are *desperately doing everything they can do sustain Ultra loose (emergency level monetary policy ) During a period of what looks like decent growth ...it’s an open secret they need to walk this fine line (maintain emergency accommodative policy ) to sustain high asset prices And financial system solvency in the face of a old over indebted monetary system ) . Now they are maintaining this policy despite strong growth and rising inflation ...the financial media won’t spell it out (everyone invested is seeing soaring asset prices as a result ) including 4 federal reserve governors in Luke warm water for investing millions in stocks and setting ultra loose monetary policy that has increased inflation for the working populace and resulted in soaring assets for investor class (Home owners have also benefited)

If I was married with kids I’d be pounding beers nightly

Most people eat too much horribly unhealthy crap some do better with a balance , some do better avoiding it all together and some change their habits when they have a health scare yolo...

Beautiful day today in SNE low dews no need to hear PF tell me how great it was at Canadian border @1500’ when my azz is sweating

Harris ...beast of a rushing TD . Tried to hold Him up and strip ball . Not happening . Impressive run z

Salmon , chicken breast, chili Chick pea pasta, sweet potato fries, gonna eat pounds of food

Setting NFL weekly lineups for fanduel Wilson should have a big day at QB few game totals in mid 50’s should bring plenty of scoring from those RB/WR ( Allen/ Metcalf/Cooper/ Ekeler/Carson)

Def a nice morning setting those DFS lineups

6z gfs looks like it hung it up to the west a extra day and muted it