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STILL N OF PIKE

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Posts posted by STILL N OF PIKE

  1. 3 hours ago, AstronomyEnjoyer said:

    00z GFS Kuchera Clown run all the way out. Had the boys over at Hewlett Packard install the Cray at my house yesterday morning - because this was clearly run from my basement. 42" spot right over my house. Lock it in, lol. Map courtesy of Pivotal Weather.

    Double Ultimate Weenie Run.jpg

    A few miles west of you are the real weenie spots in Washington / S Goshen 

    • Like 1
  2. 4 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said:

    There is something about Ray giving advice and counseling for a winter PTSD case that has me roaring in laughter.  I do understand Ray is great at what he does, but the king of storm melts counseling the king of seasonal melts is great shit.

    What are you the king of 

  3. 4 minutes ago, TauntonBlizzard2013 said:

    Yeah, he’s pretty much nailed it to this point. I’m also not sure I’d call a 5-10 day window a “pattern change”, more like a transient favorable period. And of course, without fail, and predictably, we managed to get the most mundane outcome out of said period.

    Could have been worse . You got 6” in a couple hours in tail end of one system and you had good rates before the mid level warming moved in on the last system . Real bad luck would have resulted in less .

    It’s been too mild most of the winter for SE mass and Cape with the lone exception of last few days lol

  4. 16 minutes ago, George001 said:

    I don’t disagree with any of this. 

     

    Scott never thought this year had  a very good look (FOR SE mass) inside day 10 except for maybe the one week period now we are in middle of . 

    • Like 1
  5. 10 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said:

    Just because you want to travel to east-bum for snow....frankly, if it isn't going to snow IMBY, then just torch it.

    That is a garbage outcome in my mind and for a pattern to be horrific enough for a full scale punt I wouldn’t anticipate NNE offering much of an escape 

  6. 27 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said:

    So you think that CC is predisposing the Pacific to a -PDO configuration....

    John has been hinting at this for a while I think 

    Greta has a inflatable cosmic D and she is waving it at snow lovers along the CP of the North eastern US and every year the D inflates a lil more and pushes the boundary a touch NW

     

  7. 1 minute ago, CoastalWx said:

    Later next week holds more promise for a SWFE I think. 
     

    I’m done commenting because it seems to drive people to the Tobin, just not a fan of the look in the long range. Maybe it changes. That’s JMHO.

    Who is driving to the Tobin 

    Cranky Twitter feed for todays system seems like he’s following the HREF from two days ago 

  8. 4 minutes ago, CoastalWx said:

    GEFS (which aren’t great) in the 11-15 day look better than the EPS which are hideous.

    They bounce around like ping pong balls 

    day 11-15 products are basically a weenie flip of the coin 

    • Like 2
  9. 10 minutes ago, NW_of_GYX said:

    I feel for folks in CNE and SNE. Our last several winters have barely worked because when it's not been hostile we've squeezed out a lot of marginal events. Still a bad stretch starting in 19-20 here. 

    I guess some would say in 10 years that same pattern would yield a further push up and in until you see it break favorably in marginal events .. due to warming over that period or maybe that won’t be the case 

  10. 12 minutes ago, powderfreak said:

    I can’t figure it out, nor can others.  40” is a big difference when everyone else is within inches of each other.  That’s like a noticeable snowpack difference.  If we had 40” more, the stake depth would be two feet higher.  But that’s not just a couple inches here or there.  Thats the equivalent of four 10-inch storms where the neighbors got nothing.

    Jay is 187?”’do they get a pass for having 50% more than Stowe in a season like this 

    Seems like Bolton having 22” less than Jay is basically them being on the same measurement system this year . But everyone is used to it @ Jay 

    Its simple really , the guy that measures in Leominster has a twin brother that’s lived in Jay for over a decade and now he had a kid that lives in Bolton and passed down the same technique 

    • Haha 1
  11. 23 minutes ago, CoastalWx said:

    Definitely sticks out. I mean any reason why they are so different compared to Stowe?

    I think if you are talking about most storms  ..that Stowe Under measures in a sense . I think PF has said they measure conservatively and like skiers pleasantly surprised , that probably account for maybe 15” thou .

    I always believe Jay S.S’s and Bolton maybe just decided it was not a bad marketing idea since Jay gets away with it . I know these are “fighting words” for some , but that is my opinion w Jay and I’m trying to make an educated guess on Bolton this year (unless they clear every 6 hours now ) which would usually yield vastly increased totals in N greens @ elevation . So as far as J spin meticulous measuring goes ..don’t folks realize a cleared board of fluff in N greens is gonna yield about a 15% increase in totals than waiting for snow to end and starring at a Mansfield snow stake ?

    **You can very easily measure with 2 different approved techniques for the same area and get a 15” total and a 19” total simultaneously **

    if I was a ski resort I would probably measure using the 6 hour clearing method .. but have a “sticky highlight “ admitting how I measure so the smart folks get it 

  12. 1 minute ago, BombsAway1288 said:

    Back down to 30 with freezing drizzle in Chelsea. Roads were awful throughout this event until the changeover. I was driving up rt. 1 and 95 at 345 this morning and it was snow packed, no treatment whatsoever so I can only imagine how bad they’ll get again as it gets colder and colder. Seems the plows were kind of caught off guard at least with the initial thump this morning, came in very early or they were just banking on it not sticking too well

    The euro , nam , hrrr and RGEM were all too mild for the N side of Boston and the 128 W and N side as well 

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