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MikeB_01

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Everything posted by MikeB_01

  1. MikeB_01
    And all is well… .
  2. MikeB_01
    [emoji629][emoji629][emoji629] .
  3. MikeB_01
    The screw zone on that one is brutal. 12+ in the city. 5” in Morgantown .
  4. MikeB_01
    those rates will be incredible
  5. MikeB_01
    do you have the map? i want to enjoy it
  6. MikeB_01
    as the 18z models start rolling, i'm busting out the stop sign again. We need to stop the NW trend. I hate that the mets are even putting it on the table.
  7. MikeB_01
    12z EPS looks like the 00z. Same idea
  8. MikeB_01
    not as bad on the 10:1 maps.
  9. MikeB_01
    Interesting that they didn't wait for the Euro to come out.
  10. MikeB_01
    Same, I feel like i will be disappointed with anything under 9 at this point. I'm trying to keep my expectations in check, but im struggling with all these maps showing 12+
  11. MikeB_01
    12z GEFS members
  12. MikeB_01
    Ukie... The mix and dry slot getting close on that run
  13. MikeB_01
    doesnt appear to be any issues with the thermals even with the low being that close
  14. MikeB_01
    for some reason the output on tropical tidbit doesnt have any mix. However, if you look at the icon on PW, you can see the mix on that one. However, agree. The thermals are rough on the icon
  15. MikeB_01
    yes. That mix precip stays at the PA line again.
  16. MikeB_01
    theres the amplified look. Not shocked to see the extent of the mix considering the look at the 500 level
  17. MikeB_01
    I think it look very similar to the 6z. Only difference i can see through hr 69 is the HP over new england is suprressing the precip shild slightly. At the 500 level, the southern energy seems to be a little more outfront of the kicker from the north. This should cause more amplification, but it doesn't appear to be when you look at the reflectivity maps
  18. MikeB_01
    Good morning, all. NAM is running. Lets keep track on this 12z suite.
  19. MikeB_01
    .
  20. MikeB_01
  21. MikeB_01
    Ukie ends at 10" -- even with a little mixing.
  22. MikeB_01
    and then goes right over the PA line. Very similiar to 12z.
  23. MikeB_01
    Ukie looks like 12z so far. maybe a little more suppressed. Very slight. Mixing makes it to the PA line
  24. MikeB_01
    watches are usually issued at the 48 hour mark
  25. MikeB_01
    trying to analyze the 500 vorts of the GFS at hour 78. Seems to have corrected itself from the 18z run. Baja energy is further east and the kicker from the north is extending further west. This is much more like the 12z run.
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