HRRR is showing no advancement of the mix line into AGC. They must be really thinking the efficiency drops as the day progresses. I will say, this might be wishful, but i really like the way the radar looks. Hours of precip left.
The higher ratios are happening further to the north. Reports in Youngstown already around a foot. They are getting much better ratios, but we are getting better rates down here. Will all come out in the wash.
try this one for a composite view
https://web.weatherwise.app/#map=4.72/39.62/-75.77&rt=KPBZ&rp=PRT0&m=COMPOSITE&cid=USA/MRMS&cr=CONUS&cp=SeamlessHSRPRT
if you are trying to use the radar out of KPIT you will see lighter precip because of the distance. If you use a composite, there is plenty of snow falling in Zanesville
all mesoanalysis maps have the 0°c line well south of here, but reports are of sleet in morgantown and wheeling. So im not sure how much to trust the meso thermo profiles right now.
A SPC discussion mentions peak frontogenesis running through pittsburgh. Just need to hope that the sleet rides east on that front and doesn't progress north