MikeB_01

Euro in line as well. This is the 10:1 ratio. If you go with the expected ratios, looking more like 4.5" from this

SREFs have been trending up over the last few runs. Not crazy, but up from 2.5 to 3.5 over the last 3 runs

GFS is the same as well. 3-5

"accumulations totaling 1"-18"" -- Jeff V snow forecast

12z NAM looks to hold suit. 3-5

This has certainly improved from yesterday...

this is a great sign.

NAM initialization looked bad. Not sure what it is doing

In all honesty, I am thinking that the NWS is being conservative with the 2" call. The track of the storm looks good. Lets hope is gains a little more strength and maybe we squeeze a 4-6" surprise out of this. It is sad that I am hoping for a 4" storm, but that is where we are at...We will get there eventually

one of the biggest problems with the NWS is lack of communication with other offices.

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based on this chart, i think we would be happy with that QPF

Coming down right now. Beautiful

Yeah, I actually think the areas north and west will do better than south and east. Here in bethel park I have about .5” that’s it. .

Yes. Snowing in Bethel Park. Already have a coating on cars and driveway. .

If we get 2-3, id be happy with it. Not bad considering the weakness of this system

honestly, not a bad position heading into tonight. I dont think anyone is getting 4" out of this, but the HRRR has been trending a little north and west. Also the SREFS have PIT at 2". I think we could see a situation where some in the northwest part of the area are around 1" and some in the southeast are 3"

12z GEFS

Its a good point. For reference the 00z EPS showed the main run at the very bottom of members. Lots of options showing more snow

I like the positivity in here today

thats is insane... 1994

Regardless, both ensembles show it to be pretty darn chilly after the front moves through..

Monday/Tuesday next week has me very intrigued at this point. Euro much more aggressive with it. The energy at the 500mb levels get their act together and nearly get negatively tilted. The GFS is much less aggressive. The energy is more stretched out. Never really allowing it to get going. Lots of members on the EPS also show a more dynamic system. GEFS has some, but still seems kind of lost on much of a system. Definitely something to watch in the next few days. Hopefully things start trending toward the Euro.

I would love for people to stop arguing in the main thread… that is all. .