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MikeB_01

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Everything posted by MikeB_01

  1. MikeB_01
    10:50 pm: KPIT 2° and a dewpt of -10°
  2. MikeB_01
    Could be... Any way, I view that as a positive. The entire column stays below freezing all the way down to morgantown on that NAM - Even if it is showing up as a mix
  3. MikeB_01
    maybe because it is too dry in the DGZ? Just throwing some thoughts against the wall
  4. MikeB_01
    unbelievably consistent
  5. MikeB_01
    just out of curiosity, i started to look at the soundings of the nam to see what is going on in those areas of sleet or fzr. Can someone explain how the entire column can be relatively comfortable below freezeing ( -3°C) and yet it is still showing fzr? Any ideas?
  6. MikeB_01
    I'm with you. Give me 14
  7. MikeB_01
    3k is keeping the mix line at the PA line.
  8. MikeB_01
  9. MikeB_01
  10. MikeB_01
    We just got to reel this one in. We are almost there.
  11. MikeB_01
    FWIW - the low end chances are up from earlier today
  12. MikeB_01
    you beat me to it. I was going to post the trend over the last few days of the NAM. Honestly, this run is pretty in line with all the other ones -- maybe even a little better.
  13. MikeB_01
    smelling the sleet for sure on that one.
  14. MikeB_01
    I think at this point I’ll be upset with anything under 10”. .
  15. MikeB_01
    something looked a little off on the last couple of frames on the HRRR. No mix at all, but only in the area. And that run looked really good until the rain jumped north pretty abruptly
  16. MikeB_01
    The amount of people I have heard talking about wide spread power outages… not sure who is selling that narrative. .
  17. MikeB_01
    It’s so aggressive with the 16+ in such a huge area. .
  18. MikeB_01
  19. MikeB_01
    this is an interesting question. I'm not sure the heavy precip can have the same affect on a column of air that has already been saturated? Someone way smarter than me would need to address this
  20. MikeB_01
    Primary for the NAM was stronger. That allowed it to amplify a little more.
  21. MikeB_01
    am I mis seeing it? Are those all good?
  22. MikeB_01
    Sorry about the bad quality. But thought this was pretty insightful .
  23. MikeB_01
    Classic .
  24. MikeB_01
    might need to get everyone outside with the biggest fans we can find. Gotta move that warm air out here
  25. MikeB_01
    meant to post this one. Sorry
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